Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Central Illinois

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916
FXUS63 KILX 231056
AFDILX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
556 AM CDT Fri Oct 23 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Sunny mild days and cool nights persist across central and
  southeast Illinois through Wednesday, with highs in the 70s
  and lows in the 40s.

- A cold front moves across the region mid to late next week,
  though rain chances look pretty slim (30% or less), with
  temperatures cooling a bit for the end of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 203 AM CDT Fri Oct 23 2026

The blocking pattern continues over the eastern half of the United
States. With the ridging not going anywhere any time soon, clear
skies, light winds, and dry weather will continue across the state
into the next week. Overall, perfect weather for the latter half of
harvest season. The main focus of this forecast continues to be the
above normal temperatures and lack of rain.

Temperatures will continue to be above normal as we move into the
next week. Highs will be in the mid to upper 70s. Normals for this
time of year is around 62-66 degrees across central and southeastern
IL. The CPC`s 6-10 day, 8-14 day, and Week 3-4 outlooks all show
above normal temperatures. Dry weather will last through much of the
extended period as well.

Looks like a cold front will try to makes its way into IL early next
week, but with how dry the airmass is, it will have a hard fight to
squeeze out any impactful rainfall, if it can even make it to
central IL. However, there are some <30% chances for rain for late
in the week when a stronger shortwave pushes into the region,
breaking down this ridging pattern we are stuck in.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 556 AM CDT Fri Oct 23 2026

VFR conditions continue through the TAF period. Light and variable
winds early this morning become southeasterly late this morning
with speeds increasing to 5-8 kts.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

KEY MESSAGES...Copple
DISCUSSION...Copple
AVIATION...Copple