


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
923 FXUS62 KKEY 150250 AFDKEY Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 1050 PM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... -Slight rain chances expected for the next several days as dry air dominates the Florida Keys. -Humidity levels will be below normal through most of the week. -A Coastal Flood Statement is in effect for all of the Florida Keys. -The Coastal Flood Advisory for the Upper Keys has been cancelled as water levels have fallen below advisory criteria. However, minor coastal flooding will remain possible. -Tropical Storm Lorenzo, located in the central Atlantic, will not be a threat to the Keys. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1050 PM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025 It has been a relatively quiet evening for the Florida Keys. A boundary across the outer Straits of Florida has been producing showers off and on for the last several hours. No lightning has been detected in any of these showers. Otherwise, high pressure building into the eastern half of the U.S. has begun freshening our winds. Currently seeing moderate to fresh breezes across most if not all of our reporting sites. Accompanying this high pressure is additional dry air and therefore, rain chances will be limited to the Straits of Florida overnight. Tide levels have finally fallen enough that the Coastal Flood Advisory that was in place for the Upper Keys has been cancelled and replace with a Coastal Flood Statement. The Middle and Lower Keys remain in a Coastal Flood Statement as minor saltwater flooding will occur during the times of the higher high tide. Otherwise, no other changes were needed. && .MARINE... Issued at 1050 PM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025 Moderate to fresh breezes are moving across all of the Florida Keys coastal waters. Therefore Small Craft Exercise Caution headlines are in effect for all waters for the overnight. From synopsis: a low pressure system continues to push off and away from the Eastern Seaboard, while a high pressure system builds over the eastern United States. This will result in moderate to fresh breezes overnight. Slackening winds are expected on Wednesday as the low moves further east across the North Atlantic. By the end of the week, high pressure will set up along the Carolina coast and support freshening breezes. Expect peak breezes during the late evening to mornings, and lulls in the afternoons. Shower coverage will remain isolated to scattered. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 1050 PM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025 VFR conditions expected with breezy northeast to east winds overnight. Breezes will slacken during the day on Wednesday with continued dry conditions. && .KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GM...None. && $$ Public/Marine/Fire...LIW Aviation/Nowcasts....LIW Data Acquisition.....DR Visit us on the web at weather.gov/key Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwskeywest www.twitter.com/nwskeywest