Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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887
FXUS64 KLCH 222354
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
654 PM CDT Tue Sep 22 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-High temperatures continue to run 5-10 degrees above seasonal
normals

-Chance of a few showers and thunderstorms this afternoon along and
south of the HWY90 corridor

-A weak frontal boundary will move through the region Wednesday
 night and Thursday morning

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Monday)
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Tue Sep 22 2026

High pressure is building back today which is causing temperatures
to be 5-10 degrees above seasonal normals. This high pressure will
limit rain chances today through the rest of the week.

Despite the high pressure, CAM guidance is supportive of a few
showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. This is due to a
combination of above normal high temperatures and moisture
overcoming any suppression the high has put in place. Any convection
that does develop will dissipate shortly before or after sunset this
evening.

While temperatures remain above normal, there is some mild relief
coming. Guidance continues to agree on a weak "dry" frontal boundary
moving through the region Wednesday night into early Thursday
morning. This dry frontal boundary will bring high temperatures
"down" into the low to mid 90s along with low temperatures in the
mid 60s to mid 70s Thursday through the weekend. Dewpoints will also
drop into the 60s will bring both pleasant mornings and less
oppressive afternoons and evenings.

86

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 654 PM CDT Tue Sep 22 2026

A few scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms will be
possible near the fire location through sundown. Anything
lingering after sundown will dissipate quickly. Winds near to any
ongoing showers will be breezy and variable. Away from showers,
northeasterly winds are expected. Rain chances will be lower on
Wednesday as high pressure moves overhead.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Tue Sep 22 2026

Low winds and seas will persist through Wednesday. A weak frontal
boundary will move through the coastal waters late Wednesday into
early Thursday turning winds offshore through the end of the
week. The pressure gradient behind the frontal boundary will
increase offshore winds to between 15 and 20 knots which will, in
turn, raise seas to 2-3 feet. Winds and seas will fall again by
Thursday evening. Small craft should exercise caution Thursday
morning.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Tue Sep 22 2026

High pressure is set to migrate overhead through Wednesday
keeping precipitation chances limited. A frontal boundary will
push through the region Wednesday night into early Thursday with
a slightly drier, continental airmass moving into the region in
its wake. Minimum RH values will decrease to 30 to 40 percent
each afternoon Thursday through the end of the week.

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/FIRE/MARINE...86
AVIATION...11