721
FXUS64 KLCH 271905
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
205 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Very typical summer pattern will persist through early next week
  with daily afternoon thunderstorms, afternoon highs in the low
  to mid 90s and max heat indices from 98 to 107 degrees.

- Somewhat higher precipitation chances Sunday in response to
  higher tropical moisture surging into the region.

- A weak upper ridge may build in by the middle of next week,
  increasing temperatures a couple degrees and slightly
  decreasing rain chances.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Sunday night)
Issued at 205 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

A ridge stretches from the Atlantic across the Deep South this
afternoon which is keeping the flow light and somewhat VRB across
the local area. Farther west and into TX, the flow becomes more
southerly around the periphery of the ridge. Aloft, the region
lies between a trough out west and a upper low over AL and GA with
weak ridging locally.

The typical diurnal convection is developing with the overall
typical summer pattern. Isolated showers and storms are along the
coast and outflow and the sea breeze will dictate where convection
flourishes through sunset. Slightly higher PWATs are noted toward
the Atchafalaya Basin and points east which will have a higher
coverage.

Rinse and repeat for Saturday.

Higher moisture from the gulf will work into the whole region
Sunday. Scattered to numerous afternoon storms are anticipated
area wide decreasing at sunset.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through next Thursday)
Issued at 205 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Rain chances decrease some into Monday and Tuesday back to a more
typical scattered summer afternoon scenario.

A ridge aloft may build over the area Wednesday and beyond which
may decrease rain chances slightly which will in turn increase
temps a degree or two.


&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1151 AM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Mostly VFR conditions are anticipated this period, however patchy
MVFR ceilings may occur through mid day as the CU field develops
and as isolated to scattered storms occur this afternoon. Winds
will be light and range from east to south.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 205 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

A surface high off the southeast U.S. coast will continue to
ridge across the northern Gulf and into the coastal through the
weekend into early next week resulting in light onshore flow and
low seas. Daily showers and thunderstorms are expected with little
day to day change.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 331 AM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Light southerly winds will maintain low level moisture with minimum
afternoon RH in the low to mid 50s across interior southeast
Texas as well as central Louisiana and in the low to mid 60s
along the I-10 corridor to the coast. Typical summertime
pattern will continue through the weekend with daily afternoon showers
and thunderstorms along with hot, humid days and muggy nights.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  72  93  73  92 /  10  20   0  60
LCH  76  90  76  89 /  10  40  20  90
LFT  74  90  75  89 /  30  60  20  90
BPT  75  90  75  89 /   0  30  10  80

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...05