Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA
718 FXUS64 KLCH 031815 AFDLCH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 1215 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... - A coastal low developing and moving up the Texas gulf coast will produce showers and a few thunderstorms across the region this evening and tonight. - An approaching cold front will keep precipitation chances elevated Thursday and Friday. - Dry and cool conditions expected Sunday through early next week. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Friday night) Issued at 1131 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 Mostly calm conditions ongoing this late morning / afternoon with cloud cover spreading across the region. Temps are currently in the 40s to 50s, with MaxTs expected to top out in the lower 60s at best because of the expansive cloud cover. Easterly to SE flow has returned across the area, with increasing PWATs. Moisture will continue to increase as the coastal low progresses up the SETX coast and the trough nears. These two features will allow for scattered to numerous showers and isolated storms to become widespread across the region beginning late this evening to early tomorrow morning. The coastal low will be absorbed into the boundary which will meander along the coast through the short term. This will provide a focus for stratiform showers along with some embedded heavier rain and isolated storms. Heavy showers will be likely which could lead to ponding and minor street flooding, hence the Marginal Risk ERO today and tomorrow. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday through Wednesday) Issued at 1131 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 Scattered showers will taper during the day on Saturday as a front is pushed through the region. A weak high pressure will sink into the Southern Plains on Saturday, with another high pressure spreading south on Monday. This will move off by Tuesday, with winds returning out of the south, however we are expected to remain rain free from early to mid next week. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1131 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 Mostly VFR cloud cover has blanketed the region this morning, with some lower MVFR CIGs in SETX. Showers will begin to spread across the area later this evening, with isolated thunderstorms possible. Periods of heavier showers could cause temporary VIS reductions. Moderate showers are forecast to linger past the end of this TAF cycle. && .MARINE... Issued at 1131 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 Onshore to prevail ahead of a developing coastal low that will bring widespread precipitation across the coastal waters tonight through late Saturday. Strong offshore winds and increasing seas are expected to develop Thursday in the vicinity of the center of the coastal low before abating late Friday as the low pushes off to the east. Drier conditions and light to moderate offshore winds will prevail from Sunday through early next week. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1131 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 Easterly to southeasterly winds have returned this morning ahead of a coastal low moving up the Texas coast. Dewpoints are climbing from the mid 30s into the 40s and 50s by tonight with widespread showers beginning late this evening and continuing through Friday evening. Precipitation chances gradually diminish Saturday with cooler, drier air pushing back into the region Sunday on northerly winds behind a passing cold front. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AEX 42 51 39 50 / 100 90 80 50 LCH 51 59 45 54 / 90 90 60 60 LFT 50 58 46 54 / 90 100 80 70 BPT 53 61 44 55 / 100 90 50 50 && .LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None. TX...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...87 LONG TERM....87 AVIATION...87