Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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078
FXUS65 KLKN 210912
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
112 AM PST Fri Nov 21 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1246 AM PST Fri Nov 21 2025

* Patchy freezing fog may develop across portions of northern and
  central Nevada during the early morning hours each day through
  Sunday

* Warming trend begins today through Sunday

* Low chance of isolated snow showers in Northern Nevada on Monday

&&


.UPDATE...
Issued at 1246 AM PST Fri Nov 21 2025

Added patchy fog across portions of northern and central Nevada
for the overnight. Latest satellite loop is depicting low clouds
with possible fog across the valleys. In addition,
temperature/dewpoint spreads are narrowing through the
early morning hours. No other updates were made.

&&

.AVIATION UPDATE...-SHRA will continue during the early morning
at KTPH with MVFR/IFR CIGS. Look for VCSH at KTPH after 17Z. At
all other terminals, FZFG is possible across KWMC-KBAM- KEKO and
KELY locations though confidence of occurrence is not high enough;
will include VCFG in the forecast. After 18Z, expect VFR
conditions at all locations with winds less than 15KT.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This afternoon through next Thursday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Showers are expected to taper off this
evening as the low pressure center theyre associated with travels
further south and away from the forecast area. Some patchy fog
may also develop (about a 20% chance) mainly in valleys in
Humboldt county for the next several nights. Otherwise, calm and
warming conditions are expected to prevail through the end of the
weekend as the atmosphere above Nevada enters a calmer period.
This calm cant last forever though, and is currently expected to
be broken on Monday when a trough digs in to the east and clips
the forecast area, dropping high temperatures close to ten degrees
and bringing a slight chance for some isolated snow showers in
northern Nevada. Ridging is expected to build behind the trough
starting Wednesday and temperatures return to the 50s by the end
of the week.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Low confidence in coverage and
impact of fog development. Low confidence in snow on Monday.
Moderate confidence in ridging and warming for Wednesday and
Thursday.

&&


.AVIATION...IFR ceilings expected to persist at KTPH through 23Z
before lifting to just above VFR thresholds. Ceilings at KWMC will
likely drop to MVFR levels after sunset and should stay there
through the overnight hours. VFR conditions expected at KEKO,
KELY, KBAM and KENV through the next 24 hours. Winds less than
10KT expected at all sites.

&&


.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...86