Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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216
FXUS65 KLKN 161924
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
1224 PM PDT Thu Oct 16 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

Updated at 1224 PM PDT Thu Oct 16 2025

* Unseasonably cool today and Friday

* Warming trend this weekend

* Chance of light precipitation in Northern Humboldt and Northern
  Elko Counties Sunday afternoon through Monday morning

* Much cooler Monday and Tuesday

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This afternoon through Wednesday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A trough of low pressure will move
southward across Southern Nevada this afternoon and tonight. This
trough of low pressure will enter the Desert Southwest Friday.
High temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada this
afternoon will be around ten degrees below normal for this time of
year. Maximum temperatures across Northern and Central Nevada
Friday afternoon will be about five degrees below seasonal values.
A ridge of high pressure will build eastward into Southern Nevada
this weekend, resulting in a warming trend. By Sunday afternoon,
high temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada will be
about five degrees above normal for this time of year.

A cold front will progress eastward across Northern Nevada Sunday
night into Monday morning. Light precipitation is possible ahead
of and along this cold front in Northern Nevada Sunday afternoon
into Monday morning. In wake of this cold front, much cooler
weather is expected Monday. Maximum temperatures across Northern
and Central Nevada Monday afternoon will be around ten degrees
cooler than Sunday afternoon. A ridge of high pressure will build
northwestward over the Silver State Tuesday. An upper-level area
of low pressure will progress southward across Southern Nevada
Wednesday. Enhanced atmospheric moisture associated with this
atmospheric disturbance should remain south of the service area.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence
regarding unseasonably cool weather today and Friday. High
forecast confidence in a warming trend this weekend. Moderate
forecast confidence regarding the possibility of light
precipitation in Northern Nevada Sunday afternoon through Monday
morning. Moderate forecast confidence in much cooler weather
Monday and Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions are expected at all terminals through Friday
afternoon under high pressure with no precipitation in the
forecast. Afternoon winds will be light at all terminals as
forecasted sustained winds of 15KTs or less are forecast with no
wind gusts expected through Friday afternoon.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Fire weather concerns remain minimal in the short and long term
forecast. No thunderstorm activity is forecast as we push closer
to the winter season. Sunday afternoon gusty winds are possible
along the northern NV border in fire weather zones 437, 438, 469,
and 470, but fuels will remain below critical thresholds due to
precipitation from the recent storm system.

&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...87
AVIATION...99
FIRE WEATHER...99