Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
216 FXUS65 KLKN 161924 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 1224 PM PDT Thu Oct 16 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1224 PM PDT Thu Oct 16 2025 * Unseasonably cool today and Friday * Warming trend this weekend * Chance of light precipitation in Northern Humboldt and Northern Elko Counties Sunday afternoon through Monday morning * Much cooler Monday and Tuesday && .DISCUSSION... (This afternoon through Wednesday) WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A trough of low pressure will move southward across Southern Nevada this afternoon and tonight. This trough of low pressure will enter the Desert Southwest Friday. High temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon will be around ten degrees below normal for this time of year. Maximum temperatures across Northern and Central Nevada Friday afternoon will be about five degrees below seasonal values. A ridge of high pressure will build eastward into Southern Nevada this weekend, resulting in a warming trend. By Sunday afternoon, high temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada will be about five degrees above normal for this time of year. A cold front will progress eastward across Northern Nevada Sunday night into Monday morning. Light precipitation is possible ahead of and along this cold front in Northern Nevada Sunday afternoon into Monday morning. In wake of this cold front, much cooler weather is expected Monday. Maximum temperatures across Northern and Central Nevada Monday afternoon will be around ten degrees cooler than Sunday afternoon. A ridge of high pressure will build northwestward over the Silver State Tuesday. An upper-level area of low pressure will progress southward across Southern Nevada Wednesday. Enhanced atmospheric moisture associated with this atmospheric disturbance should remain south of the service area. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence regarding unseasonably cool weather today and Friday. High forecast confidence in a warming trend this weekend. Moderate forecast confidence regarding the possibility of light precipitation in Northern Nevada Sunday afternoon through Monday morning. Moderate forecast confidence in much cooler weather Monday and Tuesday. && .AVIATION... VFR conditions are expected at all terminals through Friday afternoon under high pressure with no precipitation in the forecast. Afternoon winds will be light at all terminals as forecasted sustained winds of 15KTs or less are forecast with no wind gusts expected through Friday afternoon. && .FIRE WEATHER... Fire weather concerns remain minimal in the short and long term forecast. No thunderstorm activity is forecast as we push closer to the winter season. Sunday afternoon gusty winds are possible along the northern NV border in fire weather zones 437, 438, 469, and 470, but fuels will remain below critical thresholds due to precipitation from the recent storm system. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...87 AVIATION...99 FIRE WEATHER...99