485
FNUS73 KLMK 121638
FWSLMK

Spot Forecast for Seaton Valley Rx...The Parklands of Floyds Fork
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1138 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 EST on November 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure over the region will help to keep
weather quiet, conditions dry, and skies clear. On Thursday, we
will see some dry air mix down in the afternoon, which will lead
to lower RH. Thursday afternoon, minimum RH will be in the 30-35%
range. 20ft winds and transport winds will back from WNW to SW by
Thursday around sunset. Mixing heights are progged to be around
2000-2300ft, though with good mixing, may be closer to 3,000ft in
the peak of the afternoon. Expecting to see a continued warming
and above normal temperature trend through the weekend.

On Friday morning, there is a small chance for light showers.
These showers would bring a quarter inch of rain or less to the
area.

.THURSDAY MORNING...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Temperature.........54 at ignition...Max 58.
RH..................55 percent at ignition...Min 47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 3 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Light winds becoming west around 5 mph early in
                    the afternoon, then becoming light late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2300 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /14100 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...poor
                    /17400 knot-ft/.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................9 to 26.

TIME (EST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM
Sky (%).........34     39     47
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............54     58     58
RH..............55     47     47
20 ft wind......W 3    W 4    W 3
20 ft wind gust.5      6      5
Mix hgt (ft)....1800   2300   2000
Transport wind..W 9    W 8    W 6
LVORI...........2      2      2
ADI.............21     24     15
SDspl kt-ft/100014     16     10

.THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Temperature.........Min 38.
RH..................Max 89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1300 knot-ft).
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................2 to 4.

TIME (EST)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM
Sky (%).........54     50     36     38     40     41
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............54     48     42     40     39     38
RH..............55     68     82     85     89     89
20 ft wind......SW 2   S 2    S 2    S 2    S 2    S 2
20 ft wind gust.4                    4      4      4
Mix hgt (ft)....900    300    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..SW 5   S 6    S 8    S 9    S 9    S 9
LVORI...........3      3      5      5      6      6
ADI.............2      3      4      4      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/10003      1      3      3      3      3

.FRIDAY MORNING...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the morning.
Temperature.........Max 61.
RH..................Min 72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3300 knot-ft).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................8 to 23.

TIME (EST)      1 AM   3 AM   5 AM   7 AM   9 AM   11 AM
Sky (%).........50     57     63     70     70     64
Weather cov.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............38     43     51     57     60     61
RH..............89     86     80     75     72     75
20 ft wind......S 3    S 3    S 4    SW 5   SW 6   S 6
20 ft wind gust.5      6      7      9      9      9
Mix hgt (ft)....400    400    500    1200   1500   1100
Transport wind..S 10   S 10   S 10   SW 13  SW 13  S 8
LVORI...........5      5      4      3      3      4
ADI.............11     11     11     19     21     11
SDspl kt-ft/10004      3      5      14     17     8

$$
Forecaster...SRW
Requested by...Andrew Cross
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525689.0/LMK
.DELDT 11/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ecross@theparklands.org