Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS86 KLOX 232205
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FNUS86 KLOX 232205
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ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
205 PM PST Tue Dec 23 2025

ECC029-241615-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
205 PM PST Tue Dec 23 2025

...Discussion from Monterey...

Wet weather continues through the week. Short-lived break today.
Additional rounds of rain return Tuesday morning.  Confidence is
increasing for periods of stronger winds as well overnight
Tuesday/Wednesday, and again early Thursday morning.  Given the
periods of rain and higher humidity this week, no fire  weather
concerns are expected.

Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified.
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

...STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE AREA TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

A major storm will bring several inches of rain to the area creating
significant hydrologic issues including widespread flooding, debris
flows in recent burn scars, mudslides and swift water rescues. The
heaviest  period of rain is expected between midnight tonight
through Wednesday  afternoon. During this time hourly rain rates
between one half and one  inch (0.50-1.00) are expected with
isolated rates as high as 1.50 inches  per hour. The highest rates
are expected to mostly be in the mountains of  Santa Barbara,
Ventura, and Los Angeles Counties, but very heavy rates can occur
anywhere. There is also a very small threat for severe weather
including small tornados, mainly south of Pt Conception.

Rain rates will increase again on Christmas Day with brief periods
of heavy rain but generally less intense than Wednesday. Showers are
likely again Friday and possibly into Saturday but rates during
those days are expected to be on the lighter side.

Rain totals through Saturday are expected to range from 4-8 inches
across coastal and valley areas with 6-12 inches across the
foothills and  mountains. Along with the rain, gusty southeasterly
winds will impact the  area. Wind gusts from 40-80 MPH will be
likely across the area with the  strongest winds across the
mountains. With the soil becoming saturated  there will be the
potential for downed trees and power lines.


$$

ECC028-241615-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
205 PM PST Tue Dec 23 2025

...STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE AREA TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

A major storm will bring several inches of rain to the area creating
significant hydrologic issues including widespread flooding, debris
flows in recent burn scars, mudslides and swift water rescues. The
heaviest  period of rain is expected between midnight tonight
through Wednesday  afternoon. During this time hourly rain rates
between one half and one  inch (0.50-1.00) are expected with
isolated rates as high as 1.50 inches  per hour. The highest rates
are expected to mostly be in the mountains of  Santa Barbara,
Ventura, and Los Angeles Counties, but very heavy rates can occur
anywhere. There is also a very small threat for severe weather
including small tornados, mainly south of Pt Conception.

Rain rates will increase again on Christmas Day with brief periods
of heavy rain but generally less intense than Wednesday. Showers are
likely again Friday and possibly into Saturday but rates during
those days are expected to be on the lighter side.

Rain totals through Saturday are expected to range from 4-8 inches
across coastal and valley areas with 6-12 inches across the
foothills and  mountains. Along with the rain, gusty southeasterly
winds will impact the  area. Wind gusts from 40-80 MPH will be
likely across the area with the  strongest winds across the
mountains. With the soil becoming saturated  there will be the
potential for downed trees and power lines.


$$

ECC031-241615-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
205 PM PST Tue Dec 23 2025

...STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE AREA TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

A major storm will bring several inches of rain to the area creating
significant hydrologic issues including widespread flooding, debris
flows in recent burn scars, mudslides and swift water rescues. The
heaviest  period of rain is expected between midnight tonight
through Wednesday  afternoon. During this time hourly rain rates
between one half and one  inch (0.50-1.00) are expected with
isolated rates as high as 1.50 inches  per hour. The highest rates
are expected to mostly be in the mountains of  Santa Barbara,
Ventura, and Los Angeles Counties, but very heavy rates can occur
anywhere. There is also a very small threat for severe weather
including small tornados, mainly south of Pt Conception.

Rain rates will increase again on Christmas Day with brief periods
of heavy rain but generally less intense than Wednesday. Showers are
likely again Friday and possibly into Saturday but rates during
those days are expected to be on the lighter side.

Rain totals through Saturday are expected to range from 4-8 inches
across coastal and valley areas with 6-12 inches across the
foothills and  mountains. Along with the rain, gusty southeasterly
winds will impact the  area. Wind gusts from 40-80 MPH will be
likely across the area with the  strongest winds across the
mountains. With the soil becoming saturated  there will be the
potential for downed trees and power lines.


$$

ECC024-241615-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
205 PM PST Tue Dec 23 2025

...STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE AREA TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

A major storm will bring several inches of rain to the area creating
significant hydrologic issues including widespread flooding, debris
flows in recent burn scars, mudslides and swift water rescues. The
heaviest  period of rain is expected between midnight tonight
through Wednesday  afternoon. During this time hourly rain rates
between one half and one  inch (0.50-1.00) are expected with
isolated rates as high as 1.50 inches  per hour. The highest rates
are expected to mostly be in the mountains of  Santa Barbara,
Ventura, and Los Angeles Counties, but very heavy rates can occur
anywhere. There is also a very small threat for severe weather
including small tornados, mainly south of Pt Conception.

Rain rates will increase again on Christmas Day with brief periods
of heavy rain but generally less intense than Wednesday. Showers are
likely again Friday and possibly into Saturday but rates during
those days are expected to be on the lighter side.

Rain totals through Saturday are expected to range from 4-8 inches
across coastal and valley areas with 6-12 inches across the
foothills and  mountains. Along with the rain, gusty southeasterly
winds will impact the  area. Wind gusts from 40-80 MPH will be
likely across the area with the  strongest winds across the
mountains. With the soil becoming saturated  there will be the
potential for downed trees and power lines.


$$

ECC032-241615-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
205 PM PST Tue Dec 23 2025

...STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE AREA TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

A major storm will bring several inches of rain to the area creating
significant hydrologic issues including widespread flooding, debris
flows in recent burn scars, mudslides and swift water rescues. The
heaviest  period of rain is expected between midnight tonight
through Wednesday  afternoon. During this time hourly rain rates
between one half and one  inch (0.50-1.00) are expected with
isolated rates as high as 1.50 inches  per hour. The highest rates
are expected to mostly be in the mountains of  Santa Barbara,
Ventura, and Los Angeles Counties, but very heavy rates can occur
anywhere. There is also a very small threat for severe weather
including small tornados, mainly south of Pt Conception.

Rain rates will increase again on Christmas Day with brief periods
of heavy rain but generally less intense than Wednesday. Showers are
likely again Friday and possibly into Saturday but rates during
those days are expected to be on the lighter side.

Rain totals through Saturday are expected to range from 4-8 inches
across coastal and valley areas with 6-12 inches across the
foothills and  mountains. Along with the rain, gusty southeasterly
winds will impact the  area. Wind gusts from 40-80 MPH will be
likely across the area with the  strongest winds across the
mountains. With the soil becoming saturated  there will be the
potential for downed trees and power lines.


$$

ECC030-241615-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
205 PM PST Tue Dec 23 2025

...STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE AREA TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

A major storm will bring several inches of rain to the area creating
significant hydrologic issues including widespread flooding, debris
flows in recent burn scars, mudslides and swift water rescues. The
heaviest  period of rain is expected between midnight tonight
through Wednesday  afternoon. During this time hourly rain rates
between one half and one  inch (0.50-1.00) are expected with
isolated rates as high as 1.50 inches  per hour. The highest rates
are expected to mostly be in the mountains of  Santa Barbara,
Ventura, and Los Angeles Counties, but very heavy rates can occur
anywhere. There is also a very small threat for severe weather
including small tornados, mainly south of Pt Conception.

Rain rates will increase again on Christmas Day with brief periods
of heavy rain but generally less intense than Wednesday. Showers are
likely again Friday and possibly into Saturday but rates during
those days are expected to be on the lighter side.

Rain totals through Saturday are expected to range from 4-8 inches
across coastal and valley areas with 6-12 inches across the
foothills and  mountains. Along with the rain, gusty southeasterly
winds will impact the  area. Wind gusts from 40-80 MPH will be
likely across the area with the  strongest winds across the
mountains. With the soil becoming saturated  there will be the
potential for downed trees and power lines.


$$