895
FSUS46 KLOX 142218
QPSLOX

Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
211 PM PST Fri Nov 14 2025

Precipitation forecasts in inches are provided in 3-hour
increments until 0400 followed by 6-hour increments until 1600.
Thunderstorm chances cover up to 1600 on day 1 only.

Light rainfall amounts greater than zero but less than a tenth of an
inch are shown as lgt.

The discussion covers the period from: Fri Nov 14 2025 through Thu Nov 20 2025.

&&

                                    16-19  19-22  22-01  01-04  |  04-10  10-16

San Luis Obispo County...

LSRC1:Cambria                          0.0    0.0    lgt    lgt   |   0.5   0.4
SMRC1:Santa Margarita                  0.0    0.0    lgt    lgt   |   0.5   0.4
NIPC1:Lopez Lake                       0.0    lgt    lgt    0.2   |   0.6   0.5

1-Hr Rates:              Coasts/Valleys   Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr):   0.20-0.50        0.25-0.50
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: 20%              50%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5%              <5%

Peak rates expected to occur between: 0700-1500

Chance of Thunderstorms: 20%
Isolated rates around 0.75 in/hr possible near thunderstorms.

&&                                    16-19  19-22  22-01  01-04  |  04-10  10-16

Santa Barbara County...

SIYC1:Santa Maria                      0.0    lgt    lgt    0.2   |   0.7   0.4
SBTC1:Santa Barbara Potrero            lgt    0.1    0.1    0.4   |   0.9   0.5
GBRC1:Gibraltar Dam                    lgt    0.2    0.2    0.5   |   1.3   0.6
SMCC1:San Marcos Pass                  lgt    0.1    0.2    0.5   |   1.2   0.6
SBFC1:Santa Barbara City               lgt    0.2    0.2    0.6   |   1.2   0.6

1-Hr Rates:              Coasts/Valleys   Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr):   0.40-0.60        0.40-0.75
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: 60%              80%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: 10%              30%

Peak rates expected to occur between: 0300-1500

Chance of Thunderstorms: 30%
Isolated rates around 1.0 in/hr possible near thunderstorms.

&&                                    16-19  19-22  22-01  01-04  |  04-10  10-16

Ventura County...

FGWC1:Fagan Canyon                     0.1    0.3    0.1    0.4   |   1.1   0.7
HRCC1:Hopper Canyon                    0.2    0.2    0.2    0.5   |   1.4   0.8
MTDC1:Matilija Dam                     0.1    0.4    0.2    0.5   |   1.5   0.7
VTUC1:Ventura City                     lgt    0.3    0.2    0.4   |   1.3   0.6
MORC1:Moorpark                         lgt    0.2    0.2    0.4   |   1.0   0.6
CRXC1:Circle X Ranch                   0.1    0.3    0.2    0.5   |   1.3   0.7

1-Hr Rates:              Coasts/Valleys   Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr):   0.40-0.60        0.40-0.75
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: 60%              80%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: 20%              30%

Peak rates expected to occur between: 0300-1800

Chance of Thunderstorms: 30%
Isolated rates around 1.0 in/hr possible near thunderstorms.

&&                                    16-19  19-22  22-01  01-04  |  04-10  10-16

Los Angeles County...

WFKC1:West Fork Heliport               0.4    0.1    0.2    0.6   |   1.6   1.4
BDDC1:Big Dalton Dam                   lgt    0.2    0.1    0.3   |   1.1   1.1
PCDC1:Pacoima Dam                      0.2    0.2    0.2    0.5   |   1.1   0.9
FLTC1:La Canada Flintridge             0.1    0.2    0.2    0.5   |   1.4   1.0
SAUC1:Saugus                           lgt    0.2    0.1    0.4   |   0.9   0.7
CQT:Downtown LA                        lgt    0.2    0.2    0.5   |   1.1   0.6
MLUC1:Malibu Big Rock Mesa             0.1    0.3    0.2    0.6   |   1.4   0.7

1-Hr Rates:              Coasts/Valleys   Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr):   0.40-0.60        0.40-0.75
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: 60%              80%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: 20%              30%

Peak rates expected to occur between: 0300-1800

Chance of Thunderstorms: 30%
Isolated rates around 1.0 in/hr possible near thunderstorms.

&&

DISCUSSION:

A storm system will cross the area through Sunday, peaking tonight
through Saturday Night. Additional rainfall amounts between 1 and 3
inches is likely, with local 3 to 6 inches in the favored south
facing mountains and foothills. Peak rainfall rates between 0.25 and
0.50 inches per hour will be common, with areas of rates between 0.5
and 1.0 inches per hour. Highest totals and rates south of Santa
Ynez. Another storm will bring light to moderate widespread rain
Sunday night through Tuesday. Yet another storm may bring additional
rain around Thursday of next week, but there are a wide range of
outcomes in terms of rain and impacts.

$$

Kittell