116
FXUS64 KLUB 300440
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1140 PM CDT Sat Aug 29 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1139 PM CDT Sat Aug 29 2026

 - Continued hot and dry through the first week of September.

 - August in Lubbock is nearing the record warmest set in 2011.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of tonight through Monday)
Issued at 1015 PM CDT Sat Aug 29 2026

The core of a 5950 meter H5 high was found passing over the South
Plains late this evening and will set its sights for the Ozarks
by this time Sunday. Unfortunately, temps from 850-700 mb will
undergo no real cooling until Monday when the high shifts atop the
Missouri Bootheel. This will translate into Monday`s highs being
1-3 degrees lower than Sunday, but with an elongated ridge
remaining over the area we`ll remain dry. To pile on the bad
news, Lubbock is precariously close to tying 2011 as the warmest
August ever. If our forecast temps pan out Sunday and Monday,
we`ll finish with an average temperature of 85.9F which is just
0.1 degree shy of 2011`s record.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1015 PM CDT Sat Aug 29 2026

A zonal ridge axis remains parked over the region through late
week at which time the upper high (previously over the mid-
Mississippi Valley) retrogrades across the southern plains and
lingers near West TX by next weekend. This spells no end to the
ongoing heat and drought as high temps continue to run 6-12
degrees over climo. A few ensembles drag the high center to our
west by next weekend which could support some storms similar to
what we saw this past week, but this appears too unlikely at this
time.

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 616 PM CDT Sat Aug 29 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the TAF period.
Expect light to moderately breezy southerly speeds around 10-15kts
to continue overnight, picking back up to around 15-20kts by
Sunday morning.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1139 PM CDT Sat Aug 29 2026

Southerly winds will become breezy late Sunday morning through
afternoon at 15-20 kts. VFR will continue.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....93
AVIATION...19