886
FXUS64 KLZK 071735
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1135 AM CST Fri Nov 7 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1236 AM CST Fri Nov 7 2025

-Mainly dry conditions for the next several days

-Coldest air of the season expected by Sun Night/Mon morning,
resulting in most areas seeing sub-freezing conditions

-Wind chills dropping into the low/mid teens Sun night for some
 locations mainly in the higher terrain of the Ozarks

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1236 AM CST Fri Nov 7 2025

Fairly mild conditions are ongoing across the region early this Fri
morning...with temps across the Natural State in the 50s and 60s for
most areas. To the NW of the state...a new cold front was pushing SE
across KS...which will push SE into AR by this Fri afternoon. As
this front pushes into the state...moisture levels will remain
limited enough that precip chances will remain low for most areas.
If some precip were to be seen...the best POPs will be NE of the
CWA...though some very isolated SHRA could be seen across NERN
portions of the CWA this afternoon along the front.

NW winds will be seen briefly behind this front tonight into Sat
morning...but winds will switch back from the south briefly during
the daytime hrs on Sat. However...a much stronger cold front will
surge SE through the region Sat night into Sun morning. This front
will bring much colder air to the region...with likely the coldest
temps of the season so far expected across AR by Mon morning. In
fact...lows by Mon morning should drop below freezing for most areas
of the CWA. Wind chills will also be notable...though remaining
above any adv level criteria. Wind chills Sun Night/Mon morning will
dip into the low/mid teens across some of the higher terrain of the
Ozarks. Highs on Mon will struggle to warm out of the 40s for most
areas...with some higher elevations seeing highs in the upper 30s.

Expect moderating temps starting Tue as SRLY SFC flow returns as SFC
high pressure shifts east. Highs by late next week should warm back
into the 60s...potentially back into the 70s for some areas. No
significant rain chances are expected over the next week as deep
moisture levels will remain limited.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1131 AM CST Fri Nov 7 2025

MVFR ceilings continue to linger across central to southern
Arkansas early this afternoon. Expect these ceilings to lift to
VFR later this afternoon, but will remain SCT-BKN into the evening
hours. Otherwise, winds will be mainly W today, then veering NW
this evening and through the rest of the period. Skies will become
FEW-SCT high clouds for the the overnight hours, except maybe some
lingering mid-level clouds 5-7 kft in southern Arkansas. Fog
potential looks to be a bit more limited tonight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     78  48  76  43 /  10   0   0   0
Camden AR         76  52  78  47 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       73  46  72  37 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    75  51  76  46 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  76  51  76  47 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     78  55  80  49 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      78  48  78  44 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  75  45  73  39 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        76  49  75  44 /  10   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     75  52  78  47 /  10   0   0   0
Russellville AR   77  47  77  44 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         77  48  76  44 /  10   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      73  51  76  47 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...62
AVIATION...77