Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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994
FXUS64 KLZK 050703
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
103 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1250 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

 - A cold morning is expected across much of the state, with
   readings in the 20s for many areas.

 - Fairly calm weather conditions expected in the coming days.

 - Little to no precipitation in the forecast through the next 7
   days.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 1250 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

Thursday`s system continues to make progress well east of the area
with sfc ridging building over the area. While some clouds will
continue to stream over the area, very cold air will spill south
leading to lows in the 20s across much of the northern half of the
state. Some localized FG/FZFG could develop through sunrise across
some of the areas where clear sky conditions are seen and where
precip occurred on Thursday.

A slight warmup is expected across the state through Sunday before
a H500 trough moves through the W/NW mid-level flow aloft. At the
sfc, this will lead to a cold front moving across the state on
Sunday. Limited moisture will lead to practically no chance of
precipitation with the passage of this system. While it`ll be
pretty cold from Sunday night through Tuesday morning, this
cooldown will be pretty short-lived.

Sfc ridging will shift E/SE of the area by Tuesday with low level
S/SW flow bringing warmer temperatures back for the end of the
period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1113 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

Mixed bag of flight conditions currently in place across the
state with northern AR terminals experiencing clear skies while
low clouds are impacting much of the rest of the state. This trend
will persist through daybreak with poor flight condtions
(MVFR and lower) at all terminals except KHRO/KBPK. Will see
conditions improve to VFR areawide between 05/15z to 05/18z. Sfc
winds will remain light and variable through most of the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     45  30  53  37 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         45  32  55  41 /   0  10   0  10
Harrison AR       50  31  53  36 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    46  30  54  38 /   0   0   0  10
Little Rock   AR  45  32  53  40 /   0   0   0  10
Monticello AR     46  35  55  43 /   0  10  10  10
Mount Ida AR      49  30  55  38 /   0   0   0  10
Mountain Home AR  48  30  53  36 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        43  30  50  37 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     44  31  53  40 /   0   0  10  10
Russellville AR   48  32  55  37 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         44  29  53  35 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      43  32  52  40 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...67
AVIATION...67