Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
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056 FXUS64 KLZK 051702 AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 1102 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1250 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025 - A cold morning is expected across much of the state, with readings in the 20s for many areas. - Fairly calm weather conditions expected in the coming days. - Little to no precipitation in the forecast through the next 7 days. && .DISCUSSION... (Today through Thursday) Issued at 1250 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025 Thursday`s system continues to make progress well east of the area with sfc ridging building over the area. While some clouds will continue to stream over the area, very cold air will spill south leading to lows in the 20s across much of the northern half of the state. Some localized FG/FZFG could develop through sunrise across some of the areas where clear sky conditions are seen and where precip occurred on Thursday. A slight warmup is expected across the state through Sunday before a H500 trough moves through the W/NW mid-level flow aloft. At the sfc, this will lead to a cold front moving across the state on Sunday. Limited moisture will lead to practically no chance of precipitation with the passage of this system. While it`ll be pretty cold from Sunday night through Tuesday morning, this cooldown will be pretty short-lived. Sfc ridging will shift E/SE of the area by Tuesday with low level S/SW flow bringing warmer temperatures back for the end of the period. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1102 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025 Expect a mixture of MVFR and VFR CIGS across all terminals to begin the forecast period. CIGS will intermittently improve to VFR flight category with a return to CIGS lowering to as low as IFR flight category across the sites of KHOT and KADF early Saturday morning just after midnight. A tad later into Saturday morning before sunrise, VSBY is expected to lower to LIFR category at times across the sites of KHOT, KADF, and KHRO which has been represented by TEMPO groups. All sites will return to VFR flight category later Saturday morning. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 30 53 37 53 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 32 55 41 57 / 0 0 10 10 Harrison AR 31 53 36 46 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 30 54 38 55 / 0 0 10 0 Little Rock AR 32 53 40 56 / 0 0 10 10 Monticello AR 35 55 43 59 / 0 0 10 20 Mount Ida AR 30 55 38 54 / 0 0 10 0 Mountain Home AR 30 53 36 48 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 30 50 37 53 / 0 0 0 10 Pine Bluff AR 31 53 40 56 / 0 0 10 20 Russellville AR 32 55 37 54 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 29 53 35 55 / 0 0 0 10 Stuttgart AR 32 52 40 54 / 0 0 10 10 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...99 LONG TERM....99 AVIATION...74