628
FXUS64 KLZK 272317 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
617 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 211 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

-Slightly cooler temperatures possible into next week.

-Occasional chances of showers and thunderstorms will remain in
 the forecast into next week.

-Widespread heavy rain is not expected, but isolated storms could
 provide heavy downpours and gusty winds.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 211 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

while hot and humid conditions are expected to persist across the
state in the coming days, it appears that heat indices will remain
below advisory criteria. In addition, there will be occasional rain
chances through much of the period and this along with the
associated cloud cover should lead to slightly cooler daytime highs.

In the mid-levels, diffuse ridging will persist across the SW and
south-central US through this weekend while the weak, cutoff low
continues to meander across the SE. For Saturday, a weak H500
disturbance will drift ENE from Oklahoma, moving across northern
parts of the state. This will lead to greater coverage of showers
and thunderstorms during the afternoon/evening hours Saturday. A
similar situation may be seen Sunday as well, but slightly less
coverage is expected across the area. High PW values and little
flow aloft will allow some of these storms to produce heavy
rainfall.

By early next week things begin to change across the state and much
of the country. The H500 ridge that has been in place across the
southern US will build westward and expand across the western US.
This will be in response to a quick moving mid-level trough expected
to move from the Northern Plains toward the Great Lakes Mon-Tue. At
the sfc, a cold front will progress toward the state from the NW.

This front is expected to make it into the state before stalling.
This could lead to slightly cooler temperatures by Tue-Wed. As the
front stalls it will also remain the focus for daily chances of
showers/storms. At this time, northern AR looks to be favored for
the highest rainfall totals through next week. And while it doesn`t
look very dry near the end of the period, it does appear that the
H500 ridge will attempt to redevelop over the state leading to
hotter temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 614 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Generally VFR conditions are expected across area terminals
through the period. Occasional impacts from RA/TS activity are
possible, especially across the northern half of the state. Some
localized FG may develop if storms linger and produce heavy rain
near an area terminal. Sfc winds will generally remain light, at
less than 10 kts with varying direction. Some storms could
provide stronger wind gusts if they occur over area terminals.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     73  89  73  90 /  40  70  20  70
Camden AR         73  93  73  93 /  20  40  10  30
Harrison AR       70  84  71  89 /  40  70  20  60
Hot Springs AR    73  91  73  93 /  20  50  10  40
Little Rock   AR  76  91  75  92 /  20  60  20  50
Monticello AR     76  93  75  93 /  20  40  20  40
Mount Ida AR      73  89  73  92 /  30  50  10  40
Mountain Home AR  71  85  70  89 /  40  70  20  80
Newport AR        76  91  74  92 /  30  70  20  80
Pine Bluff AR     74  93  74  92 /  20  50  20  50
Russellville AR   73  88  73  93 /  30  60  10  50
Searcy AR         73  91  73  92 /  30  70  20  60
Stuttgart AR      76  92  75  91 /  30  50  20  50

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for ARZ007-008-016-017-
025-032>034-043>047-055>057-063-064.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...67
AVIATION...67