505
FXUS64 KLZK 251750
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1250 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026

...New DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026

- Isolated to scattered showers and storms this afternoon,
  favoring the eastern half of Arkansas.

- Heat Advisories and Extreme Heat Warnings in effect through
  Tuesday, with multiple 100 degree days possible through mid-
  week next week

- In addition to daytime heat next week, overnight lows may
  struggle to fall below 80 degrees in some locations

- Make sure to drink plenty of water and take breaks when outside

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1250 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026

Early this afternoon, partly to mostly cloudy skies encompass the
Natural State, with some showery activity across east-central
Arkansas. As daytime heating progresses, expect some blossoming
showers and storms mainly across the eastern half of the state
through this afternoon. Overall, no significant flooding concerns
as anticipated earlier this morning, so the Flood Watch was
cancelled.

Drier air filtering in from the north and building mid-level
heights going into Sunday and early next week will result in
drying and warming conditions. Heat Advisories and Extreme Heat
Warnings are now in effect through Tuesday due to high confidence
in these ambient and apparent temperatures reaching levels that
will be impactful for everyone. The hottest conditions will be
along the river delta in eastern Arkansas and the Arkansas River
Valley through central Arkansas, as heat indexes reach into the
100-115 range and limited overnight recoveries as areas may see
lows remaining above 80 degrees. These conditions are due in
large part to high amplitude ridging across the Rockies slowly
shifting eastward through the middle of next week.

A trend towards cooler temperatures mid to late next week seems
likely at this point, as a series of shortwaves riding around the
ridge center make their way down into the Natural State. While
widespread rain chances aren`t likely at this time, lowering mid-
level heights and some increasing cloud coverage should provide a
reprieve from the early week oppressive heat. We`ll have to keep
an eye on how quickly the region will cool mid to late week, as
advisory level heat may linger into Wednesday and possibly beyond
should ridging not weaken as much as consensus currently suggests.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026

VFR conditions are expected through much of the period. With that
said, isolated to scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will
be possible through this afternoon, favoring the eastern half of
Arkansas. Overall confidence is low that any terminal may be
impacted by this activity this afternoon. Otherwise, quiet weather
conditions expected across the region.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     77  99  77 100 /  20   0   0   0
Camden AR         75  97  75  98 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       76  98  77  98 /  10   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    77  99  77  99 /   0  10   0   0
Little Rock   AR  79  99  79 101 /  10  10   0   0
Monticello AR     77  96  77  99 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      76  97  77  97 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  75  97  75  98 /  20   0   0   0
Newport AR        77  98  77 100 /  20  10   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     75  96  76  98 /   0  10   0   0
Russellville AR   77 101  77 102 /  10   0   0   0
Searcy AR         76  98  76  99 /  30  10   0   0
Stuttgart AR      77  97  77  99 /  20  10   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for ARZ004>008-014>017-
024-025-031>034-039-043>047-103-113-121>123-130-137-138-203-212-
213-230-237-238.

Heat Advisory from 11 AM Sunday to 8 PM CDT Tuesday for
ARZ004>006-014-015-042-043-052>056-062>064-066>069-103-113-121-
130-137-140-141-203-212-213-230-237-240-241-340-341.

Extreme Heat Warning from 11 AM Sunday to 8 PM CDT Tuesday for
ARZ007-008-016-017-024-025-031>034-039-044>047-057-065-122-123-
138-238.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...77
AVIATION...77