850
FXUS64 KLZK 261938
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
238 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 237 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024

A cold front was pushing thru the state this afternoon, and ahead of
this a line of thunderstorms was making its way thru south Arkansas.
The storms have been severe at times across different parts of the
state, and managed to bring some welcome rainfall to areas that have
not seen precip for a while. The front will push thru the entirety
of the state overnight.

Temperatures from the rain-cooled air were a nice relief from the
extreme heat of the last few days. WFO Little Rock made it down into
the upper 60`s this afternoon after the storms passed.

Looking at the big picture, an upper level ridge was centered over
the swrn US and will shift eastward over the central US by Friday.
The cold front will bring a slight and temporary relief to the heat
tomorrow, but it will begin to build back in earnest on Friday.
Looking at the anticipated heat index values on Friday...I would not
be surprised if we have to issue heat advisories for some areas.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday Night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 237 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024

Hot and humid conditions will be noted across the state through much
of the long term portion of the forecast as H500 ridging remains
parked over the region. This includes daily high temperatures in the
mid 90s F to around 100 F with Td values in the 60s/70s F. Most days
will see at least portions of the area requiring some sort of heat
related headline due to heat indices in excess of 105. HeatRisk
values will primarily be 3 (Major) or higher except for Sun-Mon.

The exception to this during the period will be Sun-Mon as a cold
front slides south into the state. This front will help trigger
showers and thunderstorms Sunday, mainly during the
afternoon/evening hours. This precip and associated cloud cover will
help temper forecast highs a bit, at least across northern parts of
the state. The front will actually push south of the state which
will provide slightly lower T/Td values on Monday. After that, the
heat returns.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     70  89  68  93 /  10   0   0   0
Camden AR         71  91  70  96 /  30  10   0   0
Harrison AR       66  88  67  93 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    71  92  70  97 /  20   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  74  92  73  96 /  20   0   0   0
Monticello AR     72  89  73  95 /  30  10   0  10
Mount Ida AR      69  91  68  95 /  20   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  68  88  67  92 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        72  89  70  93 /  20   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     72  90  72  95 /  30   0   0   0
Russellville AR   72  92  71  96 /  10   0   0   0
Searcy AR         71  90  69  94 /  20   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      73  88  72  93 /  30   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...53
LONG TERM....67