497
FXUS64 KLZK 042326
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
526 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 116 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

-Dry conditions are expected to persist through the forecast period

-A slightly cooler airmass will be noted behind the cold front
 which moved across the state on Tuesday, but temperatures will
 remain overall a bit above average compared to normal values for
 this time of the year

-Into the weekend, a secondary (dry cold front) is forecast to
 move across Arkansas which will bring the possible need for Frost
 Advisory products across parts of the state on Sunday, Monday,
 and Tuesday mornings

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 116 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

As of early Wednesday morning, rain and isolated thunderstorms are
well east of the Mississippi River moving away from the state of
Arkansas. In the wake of the FROPA which moved across the state on
Tuesday and ushered rain and storms across the state, a region of
surface high pressure is bringing a cooler airmass into the state.

The cooler temperatures will be most noted Wednesday and Thursday
mornings as low temperatures across the state will fall between the
mid 30s to low 50s statewide. However, the cooler temperatures will
be tapered somewhat as upper lvl flow over Arkansas will be out of
the west-southwest to near westerly. In turn, temperatures overall
will be near seasonal averages for this time of the year, but
afternoon high temperatures on both Wednesday and Thursday will
remain above normal overall.

Into late week, an upper lvl positively-tilted trof will approach
the area, but latest guidance has this feature positioned over
locations just north of Arkansas. In turn, greater PoP chances will
remain north and west of Arkansas going into Friday afternoon and
Friday evening.

A secondary cold front will move through Arkansas and usher in a much
more noted cooler airmass that will begin to be felt across the
state as early as Saturday. Temperatures going into Sunday, Monday,
and Tuesday morning may garner the need for Frost Advisory products
across portions of the state. Unfortunately, this second forecasted
cold front will be lacking of PoP chances across the Natural State.

The main takeaway will be dry conditions returning to the state over
the forecast period with a second, dry cold front which will lower
morning low temperatures to values that may garner the issuance of
frost products. However, high temperatures will rebound to afternoon
values going above average for this time of the year compared to
normals for this time of the year, especially into the early portion
of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 517 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

VFR condns were noted acrs the FA near 05/00Z Wed evng. Thru the
overnight PD, patchy fog wl be possible acrs portions of Srn Cntrl
AR, w/ greatest confidence over far Srn, SWrn, and SErn locations.
Have included MVFR VISBYs at most Srn terminals during the pre-
dawn hours Thurs mrng, w/ condns expected to improve quickly
beyond 05/14Z Thurs mrng. Light and variable winds Wed night wl
become W to SWrly Thurs aftn.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     69  43  71  46 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         72  41  75  45 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       63  45  69  44 /   0   0   0  20
Hot Springs AR    71  42  74  48 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  71  46  74  50 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     72  44  75  47 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      70  36  74  43 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  65  44  69  45 /   0   0   0  10
Newport AR        69  44  70  47 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     71  42  74  46 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   68  42  73  47 /   0   0   0  10
Searcy AR         69  43  71  46 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      70  45  73  48 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...74
AVIATION...72