715
FXUS64 KMAF 051709
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1209 PM CDT Sat Sep 5 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1207 PM CDT Sat Sep 5 2026

- Temperatures remain above normal, but very gradually decrease
  weekend into next week.

- Isolated to scattered (10-40% chance) showers/storms are
  possible each day, mainly west of the Pecos.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 137 AM CDT Sat Sep 5 2026

Temperatures decrease a couple of degrees today following two
consecutive days of record setting heat at MAF. Upper ridging over
West Texas and eastern New Mexico weakens and becomes centered
farther north, decreasing subsidence and allowing temperatures to
decrease closer to normal. Highs today approach or slightly exceed
100 degrees everywhere except the higher elevations, then
decrease closer to the mid 90s on Sunday. Rain chances will be
greatest in and around the Davis and Guadalupe mountains and
adjacent plains though a few showers may reach the Permian Basin.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 137 AM CDT Sat Sep 5 2026

Temperatures remain stagnant next week with high pressure to our
north advecting in cooler air from the gulf. Temps will remain
above normal but highs in the mid 90s should feel a little better
than highs in the low 100s. Rain chances remain low in the basin
but should be higher west of the Pecos River where the mountains
will enhance lift. Uncertainty remains late next week due models
having difficulty resolving tropical systems in the eastern
Pacific and the high pressure to our north.

Hennig

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1207 PM CDT Sat Sep 5 2026

VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours in light return flow,
w/a few high clouds. Forecast soundings develop widespread cu
fields this afternoon and Sunday, w/bases ~ 4.5-9 kft AGL.
Convection is possible, but chances are too low for a mention
attm.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               74  99  74  98 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 73  97  72  97 /  20   0   0   0
Dryden                   74  97  74  97 /  10   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            72  95  71  95 /  10   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           69  88  68  87 /  20   0   0   0
Hobbs                    70  96  70  95 /  20   0   0   0
Marfa                    61  88  60  87 /  20  10   0  10
Midland Intl Airport     73  96  74  96 /  10   0   0   0
Odessa                   74  96  74  95 /  10   0   0   0
Wink                     74  97  74  97 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...99