315
FXUS64 KMAF 211106
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
606 AM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 605 AM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

-Hot temperatures continue through the forecast period with little
 to no chance of rain.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 139 AM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

What you see is pretty much what you are gonna get over the next
week. An intense mid/upper ridge or "heat dome" will remain centered
over the S. Rockies through the weekend. Day to day temperatures
will not change much more than a degree or two. Most locations will
continue to see highs at or above 100 degrees with the mountains
staying in the mid 90s. By Saturday, temperatures will near 105
across the NE PB (Snyder/Colorado City) with the Heat Risk showing
values in the extreme category (likely due to the duration of this
heatwave). Will likely need Heat Advisories in this area Saturday
into much of next week. Subsidence will keep most locations on the
dry side, however a weak disturbance Saturday could bring an
isolated storm to the northern Permian Basin.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 139 AM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

The upper ridge will flatten a bit early next week, but also shift
directly over our region. This will likely bring the peak of the
current heat wave Monday/Tuesday with nearly all locations at or
above 100 degrees. The ridge shifts west late in the week helping
decrease temperatures by a few degrees. This will also open the door
for a few storms to move in from the TX Panhandle. Rain chances
remain low (<30%), but at least there`s a chance!

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 605 AM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

VFR continues.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring              103  75 103  76 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                101  73 101  73 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                  101  75 102  75 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            99  73 100  73 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           93  69  92  69 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                   100  71 100  72 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    95  62  94  63 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport    100  75 100  76 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                  100  75 100  76 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                    101  74 101  75 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...29