857
FXUS64 KMAF 101844
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1244 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1225 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

- Slightly cooler temperatures and breezy to gusty northeasterly
  winds continue this afternoon behind a passing cold front.

- Above normal temperatures are expected Thursday through Saturday
  before a stronger cold front brings much cooler temperatures on
  Sunday.

- Dry conditions persist through the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Thursday night)
Issued at 1225 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

Current observations and satellite imagery shows the cold front
pushing down into the Big Bend region. Areas behind the front will
continue to have breezy and gusty northeasterly winds (15-25 mph
sustained, up to 35 mph gusts) this afternoon, though winds are
not going to be as strong as what was seen earlier this morning.
Cooler air is going to settle in across much of the region where
high temperatures reach the upper 50s to mid 60s for most.
Locations south of the Interstate 10 corridor are forecast to be
in the 70s due to the cooler air not arriving until after daytime
peak heating. Tonight, a surface high pressure system builds in
from the north which will reinforce cooler air and continued clear
skies across the forecast area. Low temperatures drop back into
the low and upper 30s with a few spots in the Davis Mountains
reaching the mid 20s. Surface winds veer southwesterly as the
aforementioned surface high moves east of the region.
Northwesterly flow aloft is also going to take shape, promoting
warmer and continued dry conditions. High temperatures are
anticipated to be back in the upper 60s to mid 70s placing highs
10-15 degrees above normal for this time of year. Lows Thursday
night into Friday morning will be a couple of degrees warmer than
the previous day (upper 30s to upper 40s).

Lamberson

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 1225 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

The forecast remains relatively unchanged. Northwest flow aloft
persists Friday and Saturday as an upper-level ridge builds in
from the west. This will keep clear skies and warmer weather for
both days. Surface winds veer to the southwest retaining highs in
the upper 60s to mid 70s for most locations Friday and Saturday.
Saturday night into Sunday, a cold front sweeps through the region
which will drop high temperatures below normal. There remains a
large spread amongst ensemble guidance for Sunday afternoon highs.
Therefore, there is uncertainty of how cold temperatures may get.
LREF, GEFS, and Euro plumes are suggesting a cooler solution.
This will be dependent on how strong the cold air behind the front
will be, along with the extent of cloud coverage Sunday
afternoon. By early next week, temperatures rebound in the 60s to
70s, thanks to westerly flow aloft and southerly to southwesterly
surface winds. Both Monday and Tuesday looks to be breezy as lee
troughing sets up to our west, while a surface high will be off to
the east. Dry conditions persist through the extended period.

Lamberson

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 921 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

Gusty conditions will prevail through the daylight hours with
NE gusts as high as 30-35kts until sunset at all TAF sites. Winds
will slowly swing SE after sunset Wed and decrease to 5-10kts
from the S. VFR conditions and dry weather will continue into Thu.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               36  71  39  68 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 35  73  42  72 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   39  72  44  80 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            39  75  47  72 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           39  62  43  64 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    35  71  42  70 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    27  68  36  72 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     37  69  42  70 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   38  69  42  69 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     34  73  39  71 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...High Wind Warning until 3 PM CST /2 PM MST/ this afternoon for
     Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware
     Mountains.

NM...High Wind Warning until 2 PM MST this afternoon for Guadalupe
     Mountains of Eddy County.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....11
AVIATION...01