808
FXUS64 KMAF 221053
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
553 AM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 552 AM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

- Hot temperatures continue through the forecast period with
  little to no chance of rain.

- Drink plenty of fluids and seek shade frequently as heat
  illnesses due to prolonged exposure to heat may occur.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 147 AM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

Very little change in the forecast this weekend with the "heat
dome" in full control. Highs continue to climb around a degree a day
as the upper ridge settles directly overhead. Temperatures will
reach around 105 for locations like Snyder, Big Spring, and Colorado
City where the Heat Risk will reach the Extreme category. This
means that without proper hydration or adequate cooling, even
healthy people are at risk of heat exhaustion or worse. Strongly
consider canceling outdoor activities in the afternoon and stay
hydrated. Take breaks in the air-conditioning as fans will not be
adequate in this type of heat. A Heat Advisory has been issued and
will likely be extended into next week and possibly expanded west
with time.

Showers and storms are expected to develop to our north this evening
around LUB. These could drift south this evening, but will likely be
dissipating by the time they enter our area. Gusty, outflow winds
are still possible though.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 147 AM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

The upper ridge will flatten early next week, but remain directly
over our region. This will bring the peak of the current heat wave
Monday/Tuesday with nearly all locations at or above 100 degrees.
Heat Advisories may be expanded during this time as the heat wave
enters a week in duration. The ridge shifts west late in the week
helping decrease temperatures by a few degrees. Northwest flow
will develop aloft and could bring in a few storms from the TX
Panhandle. Right now, rain chances remain low (<30%), with the
best chances across the northern Permian Basin Thursday/Friday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 552 AM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

VFR will continue with light south winds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring              104  76 104  76 /   0  10   0   0
Carlsbad                101  72 101  73 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                  102  75 102  75 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton           100  73 100  74 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           93  69  93  69 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                   100  71 100  72 /   0  10   0   0
Marfa                    94  63  94  63 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport    101  75 101  76 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                  100  75 100  76 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                    102  74 102  75 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM CDT Sunday for
     Borden-Howard-Mitchell-Scurry.

NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...29