153
FXUS64 KMAF 042330
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
530 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 518 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

- Strong winds are expected over the Guadalupes/Delawares Friday
  and Saturday. A High Wind Watch is in place for these areas
  Friday, with Saturday likely needing wind products as well.

- Temperatures rebound near to slightly above normal Friday
  through early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Friday night)
Issued at 107 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

The upper low that has brought mostly cloudy and cooler conditions
will be on the way out to the northeast by this evening. High clouds
will remain, but low clouds should clear out by tonight. A secondary
wave moves through tonight and may bring a couple showers across Big
Bend, but amounts will be low, if measurable. Another upper level
low approaches the region tomorrow afternoon and a mid level jet
ahead of this system will increase winds in the region, particularly
in the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains. For this, a High Wind Watch
has been issued for the mountains for tomorrow afternoon and
evening. Winds look to briefly subside by late tomorrow night.

The cold returns tonight for areas north of I-20 where temperatures
dip into the upper 20s to low 30s and 40s hold on along the I-10
corridor southward. With significantly less cloud cover remaining
during the day on Friday, highs rebound into the 60s for most with
50s holding on in the higher elevations. Lows settle back down into
the 30s and 40s Friday night with 20s across the northern Permian
Basin and parts of SE NM.

-Stickney

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 107 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

Upper-level flow becomes northwesterly Saturday on the back side of
a broad trough. Meanwhile, a lee trough brings about the development
of a surface low over the Plains, drawing breezy westerly/
southwesterly winds over our area Saturday afternoon. Winds still
look to be strong over the Guadalupe Mountains, likely requiring
High Wind products Saturday and into the overnight hours. Otherwise,
temperatures Saturday are forecast to top out in the mid 60s to low
70s (mid 50s in the higher terrain). Temperatures take a slight
tumble as the aforementioned surface low ushers in a cold front
early Sunday morning. Highs Sunday will reach the upper 50s to mid
60s for most, with 70s near and along the Rio Grande. Sunday night`s
lows dip into the 20s and 30s. Heading into a new work week,
temperatures go back on an upward trend, warming mainly into the 70s
by Wednesday ahead of another cold front.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 518 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the period. Light
variable and southerly winds are anticipated to persist through
tonight into tomorrow morning at all terminals. Winds increase and
shift westerly to west-southwesterly beginning early tomorrow
afternoon lasting through the late afternoon to early evening
hours. CNM, HOB, INK, and MAF terminals may receive brief periods
of BLDU reducing VIS associated with strong wind gusts. Uncertainty
is high if BLDU occurs and how low VIS will get at these
terminals.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               33  65  33  66 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 31  65  32  68 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   41  63  42  75 /  20  10   0   0
Fort Stockton            40  69  40  71 /  10   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           36  55  36  56 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    28  62  30  65 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    32  62  32  62 /  10  10  10   0
Midland Intl Airport     35  65  35  66 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   36  64  35  66 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     33  66  32  69 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...High Wind Watch from Friday afternoon through Friday evening for
     Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware
     Mountains.

NM...High Wind Watch from Friday morning through Friday evening for
     Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....95
AVIATION...11