Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
995
FNUS54 KMEG 052031
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
331 PM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Fire weather concerns remain low with minimum relative humidity
values sticking around 40 to 50 percent. 20 ft winds are slightly
elevated today with gusts to around 20 mph possible. Wetting rains
will keep fire concerns low through the middle of the week with
anywhere from 1 to 2 inches of rainfall expected across much of
the region with the potential for locally higher rainfall totals.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-060900-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
331 PM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 50 0 50
Precip Chance (%) 20 70 70 70
Precip Type None Tstms Showers Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.32 0.24 0.28
Precip Duration (hrs) 5 5 6
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 66 (+7) 78 (-9) 67 79
RH % (24h trend) 99 (+11) 79 (+31) 100 76
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 5 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) E 5 SE 6 SE 4 N 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 400 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1400 1900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 500 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 1600 2100
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 5 N 4
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 12 N 9
Vent Index (m2/s) 2500 2400
Category Day 2 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 74 73
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 6 NE 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 14 NE 12
Dispersion Index 13 22 8 15
Stability Class F C F C
Stagnation Index 3 3 1 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-060900-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
331 PM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 50 20 50
Precip Chance (%) 20 70 70 70
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.14 0.21 0.25
Precip Duration (hrs) 6 5 6
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 69 (+7) 81 (-7) 68 82
RH % (24h trend) 99 (+10) 74 (+27) 100 74
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) E 4 SE 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 600 800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1800 2500
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 600 800
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2000 2700
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 5 NW 4
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 12 NW 9
Vent Index (m2/s) 3000 3200
Category Day 2 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 75 76
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 7 W 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 15 W 14
Dispersion Index 13 26 10 20
Stability Class F C F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-060900-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
331 PM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 50 50
Precip Chance (%) 10 70 70 80
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.13 0.26 0.46
Precip Duration (hrs) 6 5 11
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 64 (+6) 79 (-8) 65 80
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+5) 72 (+26) 100 79
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 5 S 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 5 SE 6 Lgt/Var W 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 500 400
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1600 1200
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 600 500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2000 1600
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 7 S 4
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 15 S 9
Vent Index (m2/s) 4200 2000
Category Day 3 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 73 74
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 7 S 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 16 S 15
Dispersion Index 12 30 10 21
Stability Class F C E C
Stagnation Index 3 3 2 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-060900-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
331 PM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20 50
Precip Chance (%) 20 70 60 80
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.21 0.19 0.38
Precip Duration (hrs) 6 5 11
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 65 (+7) 80 (-7) 66 80
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+6) 73 (+25) 100 78
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 6 S 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) E 6 SE 7 SE 4 W 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 400 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1400 1900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 500 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 1800 2300
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 7 SW 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 15 SW 10
Vent Index (m2/s) 3500 3500
Category Day 2 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 73 76
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 8 S 8
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 18 S 17
Dispersion Index 13 31 10 26
Stability Class F C F C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-060900-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
331 PM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0 50
Precip Chance (%) 40 70 60 70
Precip Type Showers Tstms Showers Tstms
Precip Amount 0.01 0.07 0.13 0.26
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 4 5 9
Precip Begin 12 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 69 (+6) 82 (-6) 66 84
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+13) 73 (+25) 100 72
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 6 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) E 6 SE 7 SE 4 Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 700 800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2200 2800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 700 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2400 3000
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 6 SW 4
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 14 SW 9
Vent Index (m2/s) 4200 3600
Category Day 3 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 74 78
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 8 SW 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 18 SW 14
Dispersion Index 15 30 10 23
Stability Class E C F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
66 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-060900-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
331 PM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20 50
Precip Chance (%) 30 60 40 70
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.01 0.13 0.06 0.26
Precip Duration (hrs) 0 4 2 8
Precip Begin 3 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 67 (+5) 81 (-5) 66 84
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+8) 68 (+19) 100 66
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 6 S 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) E 7 G17 SE 7 SE 4 Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 500 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1700 2900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 700 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2100 3300
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 7 SW 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 15 SW 10
Vent Index (m2/s) 4900 5000
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 72 77
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 8 S 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 18 S 14
Dispersion Index 15 31 11 27
Stability Class E C F C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
68 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 45 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
$$