Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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664
FWUS46 KMFR 102221
AVGMFR

AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
221 PM PST MON NOV 10 2025


...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...

DATE                                        TUESDAY 11/11/25                        WEDNESDAY 11/12/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        BK   BK   BK   BK   BK   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   BK   OV   BK   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    55   55   65   55   60   50   65   85   95   75   65   50   60   75   65   70   80
TEMPERATURE        48   45   45   45   45   43   48   48   45   42   41   39   39   39   38   38   35
MIN/MAX TEMP                           43                  50                  37                  39
WIND DIR            W   SW    W   SW    S    S    S   SW   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         12   12   12   12   13   11   11   16   17   19   24   26   29   28   33   34   34
WIND GUST (MPH)                                                           43   48   47   54   55   55
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5   20   20   70
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.01
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  9.5  9.3  9.1  8.9  8.8  8.7  8.7  8.7  8.7  8.5  8.7  8.7  8.5  8.2  8.0  7.8  7.7


...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...

DATE                                        TUESDAY 11/11/25                        WEDNESDAY 11/12/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        BK   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   BK   OV   OV   OV   BK   SC   BK   OV   BK   BK   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    50   55   65   55   60   50   65   85   95   80   65   50   65   70   65   70   80
TEMPERATURE        47   40   41   40   38   38   49   49   44   39   39   36   36   37   40   40   36
MIN/MAX TEMP                           37                  50                  34                  40
WIND DIR            W   SW    W    S   SE   SE    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)          9    9    9   10   10    9    9   12   12   14   18   20   23   21   25   26   26
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5   20   20   70
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.01
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  9.5  9.3  9.1  8.9  8.7  8.7  8.7  8.7  8.6  8.5  8.7  8.7  8.5  8.2  8.0  7.8  7.7


...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...

DATE                                        TUESDAY 11/11/25                        WEDNESDAY 11/12/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        BK   BK   BK   BK   BK   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   BK   SC   BK   OV   BK   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    60   55   70   55   60   50   70   85   95   75   60   50   60   75   65   70   80
TEMPERATURE        48   45   45   46   46   45   48   47   45   42   42   40   40   39   38   38   36
MIN/MAX TEMP                           44                  49                  38                  39
WIND DIR            W   SW    W   SW    S    S    S   SW   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         12   12   12   12   13   11   11   16   17   19   24   27   29   28   33   34   34
WIND GUST (MPH)                                                                48   47   54   55   55
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5   20   20   70
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.01
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  9.5  9.3  9.1  8.9  8.8  8.7  8.7  8.7  8.7  8.5  8.7  8.7  8.5  8.2  8.0  7.8  7.7


...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...

DATE                                        TUESDAY 11/11/25                        WEDNESDAY 11/12/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        BK   BK   BK   SC   BK   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   BK   OV   BK   BK   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    50   55   65   45   55   55   65   75   90   75   65   55   65   70   65   65   80
TEMPERATURE        38   36   36   36   36   36   40   40   37   33   32   30   30   31   30   30   27
MIN/MAX TEMP                           36                  41                  29                  32
WIND DIR            W    W    W    W    W    W   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         23   21   21   24   24   23   20   26   27   27   36   41   44   40   49   54   56
WIND GUST (MPH)    48   47   44   50   50   48   43   48   48   47   61   69   74   69   81   96  109
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5   20   20   70
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.01
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.1
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  9.6  9.3  9.2  8.9  8.8  8.7  8.8  8.8  8.7  8.5  8.8  8.8  8.6  8.3  8.1  7.8  7.7


...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...

DATE                                        TUESDAY 11/11/25                        WEDNESDAY 11/12/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        BK   SC   BK   SC   BK   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   SC   BK   OV   BK   BK   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    60   50   65   45   55   50   70   95   90   85   75   50   70   75   65   70   75
TEMPERATURE        48   45   44   44   43   43   46   47   45   42   41   40   39   39   39   39   37
MIN/MAX TEMP                           43                  48                  38                  39
WIND DIR            W   SW   SW   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         10    9    9   10   10    9   11   12   13   14   18   20   23   23   25   27   28
WIND GUST (MPH)                                                                               44
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5   20   20   50
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               S    R    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.01      0.01
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  9.5  9.3  9.1  8.9  8.7  8.6  8.6  8.6  8.6  8.5  8.6  8.6  8.4  8.1  8.0  7.8  7.6


...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...

DATE                                        TUESDAY 11/11/25                        WEDNESDAY 11/12/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        SC   SC   BK   SC   SC   BK   BK   OV   OV   BK   SC   SC   BK   OV   BK   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    45   50   55   50   50   55   65   95  100   70   50   40   55   75   70   75   90
TEMPERATURE        55   50   51   50   50   49   52   53   49   46   46   43   43   47   46   47   44
MIN/MAX TEMP                           49                  54                  41                  48
WIND DIR           NW    W    W    W    W   SW    S   SE    S    S    S    S    S   SE   SE    S   SE
WIND (MPH)          4    4    4    4    4    5    5    6    5    6    6    6    8    6   12   16   16
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5   20   20   80
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.01      0.01
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  9.4  9.2  9.0  8.8  8.7  8.6  8.6  8.6  8.6  8.5  8.6  8.6  8.4  8.1  7.9  7.7  7.6


...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...

DATE                                        TUESDAY 11/11/25                        WEDNESDAY 11/12/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        SC   SC   SC   SC   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   BK   SC   SC   BK   OV   BK   BK   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    50   45   45   40   50   50   80  100  100   65   45   45   60   75   60   60   90
TEMPERATURE        52   49   48   49   48   49   51   51   48   45   44   42   41   41   41   40   37
MIN/MAX TEMP                           47                  51                  39                  41
WIND DIR           NW    W    W    S   SE   SE    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         10    9    9   10   10    9   10   11   12   14   18   20   23   20   25   26   27
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5   20   20   80
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               S    R    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.01
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  9.4  9.2  9.0  8.7  8.6  8.5  8.5  8.6  8.6  8.5  8.5  8.6  8.4  8.1  7.9  7.6  7.7


...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...

DATE                                        TUESDAY 11/11/25                        WEDNESDAY 11/12/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        BK   SC   SC   SC   FW   SC   SC   OV   OV   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    55   35   35   35   15   30   30   90   80   70   70   70   70   80   75   75   80
TEMPERATURE        47   40   38   38   38   36   45   48   46   41   40   40   39   39   42   43   42
MIN/MAX TEMP                           36                  50                  38                  44
WIND DIR            W    W    W    W   SW   SW    S   SW   SW   SW   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         14   14   14   16   13   12   13   16   17   17   17   20   20   21   21   19   20
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5   20   20   30
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.4  8.4  8.9  9.0  9.4  9.4  9.2  8.9  8.4  8.1  8.3  8.4  8.3  8.4  8.2  8.2  8.0


...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...

DATE                                        TUESDAY 11/11/25                        WEDNESDAY 11/12/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        BK   BK   SC   SC   FW   SC   FW   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    60   60   50   35   20   30   25   75   85   80   75   70   70   85   75   75   80
TEMPERATURE        46   39   39   37   37   36   45   49   47   41   40   38   37   36   40   42   41
MIN/MAX TEMP                           36                  51                  36                  43
WIND DIR            W    W    W    W   SW   SW    S   SW   SW   SW   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         14   14   14   16   13   12   13   16   17   17   17   20   20   21   21   19   21
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5   20   20   20
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               R    R    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.5  8.4  8.8  9.0  9.5  9.4  9.2  8.9  8.4  8.1  8.4  8.5  8.4  8.4  8.3  8.2  8.0


...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...

DATE                                        TUESDAY 11/11/25                        WEDNESDAY 11/12/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        SC   BK   BK   SC   FW   SC   SC   OV   OV   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    40   60   55   30   20   35   40   85   80   55   55   80   85   90   80   75   75
TEMPERATURE        50   43   41   39   38   36   46   53   53   46   44   43   41   41   44   48   46
MIN/MAX TEMP                           36                  57                  40                  49
WIND DIR            W    W   SW    S    S   SE    S   SW    S    S    S   SE    S   SE   SE   SE    S
WIND (MPH)          8    5    5    5    5    6    6    8    8    8    8   10   11   12   13   14   13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5   10   10   30
PRECIP TYPE                                                                                         R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.9  8.7  8.5  8.4  8.6  9.0  8.7  8.4  8.3  8.4  8.4  8.3  8.4  8.2  8.0  8.1  7.8


...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...

DATE                                        TUESDAY 11/11/25                        WEDNESDAY 11/12/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   SC   SC   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    35   30   40   30   15   30   30   80   95   70   55   60   75   80   75   75   80
TEMPERATURE        46   42   42   42   42   41   47   50   48   44   43   43   42   42   43   45   42
MIN/MAX TEMP                           41                  51                  41                  45
WIND DIR            W    W    W   SW    S    S    S   SW   SW   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         14   14   16   17   14   12   13   17   17   18   18   20   20   21   21   20   21
WIND GUST (MPH)                                                                                    41
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    5    5    5    5    5    0    5    0    0    0    0    5    5   20   20   30
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               R    R    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.4  8.6  8.9  9.0  9.2  9.3  9.1  8.8  8.5  8.3  8.2  8.3  8.2  8.3  8.1  8.1  7.9


...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...

DATE                                        TUESDAY 11/11/25                        WEDNESDAY 11/12/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        SC   FW   SC   SC   FW   SC   SC   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   OV   OV   BK   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    35   20   30   25   15   30   30   85   95   80   60   55   75   80   70   70   80
TEMPERATURE        46   41   41   41   41   40   47   50   48   44   43   43   43   42   44   46   44
MIN/MAX TEMP                           40                  51                  42                  46
WIND DIR            W    W   SW   SW    S    S    S   SW   SW   SW   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         16   14   16   17   14   12   13   17   17   18   17   19   19   21   21   20   19
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    5    5    5    5    5    0    5    0    0    0    0    5    5   20   20   30
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.2  8.6  9.2  9.3  9.4  9.4  9.3  9.0  8.6  8.2  8.1  8.3  8.2  8.2  8.1  8.1  8.0


...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...

DATE                                        TUESDAY 11/11/25                        WEDNESDAY 11/12/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        SC   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    30   50   45   25   35   40   55  100   90   95   95   70   80   80   65   60   80
TEMPERATURE        48   45   45   46   45   45   49   50   48   46   46   45   43   43   42   43   40
MIN/MAX TEMP                           45                  51                  43                  43
WIND DIR           NW    W    W   SW    S   SW    S    S   SW   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         11   12   12   13   12   11   11   13   14   13   17   19   21   20   21   24   24
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   10   10   30
PRECIP TYPE                                                                                         R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.9  8.7  8.5  8.5  8.6  8.9  8.7  8.4  8.4  8.4  8.4  8.4  8.5  8.2  7.9  8.1  8.0

$$

--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---

CODE   TYPE
 T     THUNDERSTORMS
 R     RAIN
 S     SNOW
 I     SLEET
 Z     FREEZING RAIN