Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC
550
FNUS72 KMHX 050034
FWSMHX
Spot Forecast for Rose Bay Canal Fire...NCFS
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
834 PM EDT Thu Jun 4 2026
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2100 EDT on June 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.
.DISCUSSION...
Low pressure well off the coast will continue to pull away from
the area tonight as high pressure builds into the region. Light
winds will continue to veer overnight becoming almost due Werly
in the early morning hours. Chance winds could go completely calm,
but low levels are starved of moisture so not expecting any fog.
SWerly winds at less than 10mph by midmorning until the seabreeze
shifts them Serly ~10mph with some higher gusts around 1500edt FRI.
MinRH forecast ~35% over the fire, increasing slightly behind the
seabreeze. Will see gradual improvement late this weekend with
MinRHs closer to 40%. Dry weather will continue through the weekend,
then precip chances increase late Sunday and into Monday with FROPA.
A warming trend continues ahead of SUN night`s/MON morning`s front.
.REST OF TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
Max humidity........84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 6 mph shifting to the
southwest 6 to 7 mph overnight, then shifting
to the west around 8 mph early in the morning.
Vent Rate...........Min 2300 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 4.
ADI.................Min 3.
Stability class.....6.
Sfc pressure........30.11 to 30.13 inHg.
TIME (EDT) 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............70 68 66 64 63 62 61 60 59
RH..............45 51 56 60 62 70 78 78 78
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE S SW SW SW W W
20 FT wind spd..3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2
20 FT wind gust.5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE S SW SW W W W
Transp wind spd.6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 8
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4
ADI.............3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3
Sfc pres (in)...012 012 013 012 012 011 011 011 011
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph late
in the morning, then shifting to the south 7 to
9 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 9 mph shifting to the south 10 to 13
mph late in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 41745 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 5.
ADI.................Max 49.
Stability class.....3.
Sfc pressure........30.05 to 30.14 inHg.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........0 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............59 61 67 72 78 82 85 86 87 88 87 87
RH..............83 84 73 61 48 43 37 36 35 35 38 40
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W SW SW S S S S
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 3 3 4 5 6 7 8 8 9
20 FT wind gust. 5 5 5 9 14 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.4 2.6 4.2 5.2 5.3 4.5 3.1 2.0
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W SW SW SW S S
Transp wind spd.8 7 8 9 8 6 5 6 6 9 10 13
LVORI...........5 4 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............4 7 8 13 15 19 25 34 35 49 39 32
Vrate mph-ft/1K.3 3 4 10 12 15 19 30 30 42 32 25
Sfc pres (in)...012 013 014 013 013 011 010 009 007 006 006 005
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
Max humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 9 mph.
Mixing Height.......Min 500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 14 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 5175 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 4.
ADI.................Min 5.
Stability class.....4.
Sfc pressure........30.04 to 30.07 inHg.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........2 2 1 2 3 3 4 5 6 7 10 12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............84 82 79 76 75 74 73 72 72 71 71 70
RH..............44 49 54 62 64 66 68 71 73 76 76 76
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..9 9 8 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.14 14 14 9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.14 14 14 14 14 13 13 12 12 12 12 10
LVORI...........2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4
ADI.............20 9 9 9 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5
Vrate mph-ft/1K.15 10 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 6 6 6
Sfc pres (in)...005 005 005 006 007 007 007 006 005 005 004 004
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing Height.......Max 4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 16 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 68080 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 4.
ADI.................Max 79.
Stability class.....4.
Sfc pressure........29.96 to 30.07 inHg.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........18 31 37 36 35 34 33 32 32 31 28 27
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............70 72 74 77 80 84 87 89 90 91 91 90
RH..............76 73 71 64 58 51 46 44 42 42 42 45
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S
20 FT wind spd..5 6 6 6 7 7 8 9 9 9 10 10
20 FT wind gust. 9 14 14 14 14 14 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.6 3.7 4.3 4.9 3.7 2.5
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW W W W W SW SW SW SW S
Transp wind spd.10 10 15 14 14 14 13 13 14 14 15 16
LVORI...........4 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............5 11 23 25 30 34 42 57 70 79 53 47
Vrate mph-ft/1K.6 8 17 19 24 27 33 47 59 68 55 41
Sfc pres (in)...005 006 007 007 007 006 005 003 001 999 997 996
$$
Forecaster...Bowen
Requested by...D13
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2614996.0/MHX
.DELDT 06/04/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL d13opsrm@ncagr.gov