705
FNUS72 KMHX 171247
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for GOCR fields...Goose Creek State Park
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
847 AM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on August 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
Southwesterly winds this morning, becoming westerly this afternoon.
Hot and humid today with high temps in the upper 90s and heat index
values around 105 degrees. An isolated shower or thunderstorm will
be possible this afternoon and evening. Diurnally driven showers
and storms persist Tues, Wed, and Thurs with the next front approaching
late week.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 97.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph,
shifting to the northwest late in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 66010 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 6.
ADI.................Max 77.
Stability class.....3.
Sfc pressure........29.84 to 29.94 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........17  15  18  12  6   6   13  18  25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............83  86  90  92  94  95  96  97  96
RH..............79  75  68  62  58  53  51  48  49
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..4   5   6   6   6   10  8   7   7
20 FT wind gust.9   14  9   9   10  15  15  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.6 2.2 2.9 3.7 4.4 4.8 4.8 3.8
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.13  13  13  14  14  14  14  13  12
LVORI...........4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............21  27  36  49  62  71  77  71  52
Vrate mph-ft/1K.16  21  28  40  51  60  66  61  43
Sfc pres (in)...994 994 994 993 991 989 987 985 984

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy then
                    becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers in
                    the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    through the night. Slight chance of showers
                    overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 78.
Max humidity........91 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing Height.......Min 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west
                    around 7 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 2760 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 6.
ADI.................Min 3.
Stability class.....3.
Sfc pressure........29.82 to 29.86 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........23  27  37  43  46  62  48  44  36  31  17  34
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH SCH CHC SCH
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............94  91  88  86  83  82  81  81  81  80  79  79
RH..............54  62  68  75  82  85  88  88  85  88  91  91
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   1   1
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   SW  SW  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
Transp wind spd.9   8   7   7   8   8   7   8   7   6   7   7
LVORI...........2   3   3   4   5   5   6   6   5   6   6   6
ADI.............14  4   3   3   4   4   3   4   3   3   3   3
Vrate mph-ft/1K.11  5   4   3   4   4   3   4   3   3   3   3
Sfc pres (in)...983 984 984 985 986 986 985 983 982 982 982 983

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds, becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 45425 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 6.
ADI.................Max 57.
Stability class.....3.
Sfc pressure........29.77 to 29.85 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........29  26  24  17  15  14  19  17  48  30  49  51
Weather cov.....                                SCH         CHC
Weather type....                                RW          RW
Tstm cov........                                SCH         CHC
Temp............79  79  80  83  87  90  92  93  93  94  95  94
RH..............91  91  91  82  72  66  60  58  58  56  55  54
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.            5   5   5   5   9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.4 3.2 3.9 4.5 4.9 4.6 3.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  W
Transp wind spd.6   5   5   6   5   6   7   8   8   9   8   7
LVORI...........6   6   6   4   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   2
ADI.............3   4   5   8   10  18  28  40  46  57  47  29
Vrate mph-ft/1K.3   2   4   7   8   14  22  31  36  45  37  24
Sfc pres (in)...983 983 984 984 985 985 983 982 980 979 977 977

$$
Forecaster...Dail
Requested by...Joe Martin
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2619832.0/MHX
.DELDT 08/17/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joseph.martin@ncparks.gov