149
FNUS72 KMLB 171634
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Cruickshank Unit 3...Brevard County EEL
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1234 PM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on August 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

West winds are forecast Tuesday, mostly remaining less than 10 mph. The
offshore flow should delay the east coast sea breeze development and
any associated wind shifts at the burn site until late in the afternoon.
Increasing moisture will support a seasonal pattern of scattered afternoon
storms, generally after 2PM. There are no critical RH concerns. Fair to
generally good smoke dispersion is forecast. Hot conditions persist with
a high approaching the upper 90s.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
                    Showers and thunderstorms likely late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 97.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 3700 ft AGL late in
                    the morning, then decreasing to 1500 ft AGL
                    late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 23 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 38 in the late morning and early
                    afternoon decreasing to 23 late in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  10  10  8   8   12  13  27  34  42  49  55
Weather cov.....                                CHC CHC CHC LKY
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                CHC CHC CHC LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  40  50  50  60
Temp............79  80  81  84  89  91  94  95  95  95  95  92
RH..............93  92  94  86  75  70  64  61  61  60  60  65
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   7   9   9   8   7   7   7   8   6
20 FT wind gust.12  12  12  12  14  13  13  12  10  12  12  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.5 2.3 3.0 3.7 3.5 3.4 2.5 2.0 1.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.10  9   10  13  13  12  10  9   8   8   8   9
Dispersion idx..5   5   9   23  34  38  38  41  34  27  20  18

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely early in the evening, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
                    the evening. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 79.
Max humidity........95 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming west 5 to 6 mph
                    after 3 am. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph shifting to the west 7 to 9
                    mph early in the evening.
Dispersion index....8.
LVORI...............4 increasing to 6 in the late evening and
                    overnight.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........59     47     21     22     24     22
Weather cov.....LIKELY S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........LIKELY S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60     20     0      0      0      0
Temp............90     85     83     82     81     80
RH..............68     77     81     84     87     91
20 ft wind......N 5    W 2    W 3    W 3    W 3    W 5
20 ft wind gust.8      5      6      6      7      8
Mix hgt (ft)....1000   400    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..N 10   W 9    W 8    W 8    W 8    W 8
Dispersion idx..12     4      3      3      4      4
LVORI...........3      4      5      6      6      6

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the morning, then showers
                    and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the
                    south around 5 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 3000 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 8 mph shifting to the south around 7
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 17 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 25 late in the morning decreasing
                    to 15 late in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........19        43        31        55
Weather cov.....          CHANCE    CHANCE    LIKELY
Weather type....NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........          S CHC     CHANCE    LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).0         30        30        60
Temp............80        84        91        92
RH..............92        87        71        68
20 FT wind......SW 5G9    W 5G8     W 6G8     SW 5G8
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1300      2700      2600
Transport wind..W 7       W 8       W 8       W 7
Dispersion idx..3         13        28        22

$$
Forecaster...Law
Requested by...Evan Hall
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2619857.0/MLB
.DELDT 08/17/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Evan.Hall@brevardfl.gov