Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
778
FNUS72 KMLB 051152
FWSMLB
Spot Forecast for Hilochee WMA prescribed burn...FWC
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
752 AM EDT Fri Sep 5 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on September 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Light northeast winds this morning veer more easterly into the
afternoon, increasing to around 10-12 mph and gusting 15-20 mph
through mid evening. Isolated to scattered showers are forecast
around the burn site from early to mid afternoon, though a
majority of activity is anticipated to form west of this
location. Generally good dispersion is forecast, and maximum heat
indices will reach the upper 90s to low 100s.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
showers late in the morning. Slight chance of
thunderstorms late in the morning, then chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 12 mph
early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms late in the
morning.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL increasing to 4400 ft AGL in the
late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 14 mph.
Dispersion index....2 increasing to 14 late in the morning, then
increasing to 29 late in the morning increasing
to 44 late in the morning increasing to 45
decreasing to 32 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............8 decreasing to 4 late in the morning, then
decreasing to 1 in the afternoon increasing to
3 late in the afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
Sky (%).........41 49 45 53 58 61 66 69 71 70
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10 20 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50
Temp............76 80 84 87 88 89 88 90 88 87
RH..............97 88 77 70 66 64 66 62 66 68
20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E
20 FT wind spd..5 6 7 8 9 9 9 10 10 12
20 FT wind gust.8 9 10 10 12 13 13 17 17 18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 1.4 2.5 3.4 3.9 4.4 3.8 3.4 3.4 2.5
Transp wind dir.NE NE E E E E E E E E
Transp wind spd.6 7 9 10 12 10 13 13 14 14
Dispersion idx..2 14 29 39 48 49 47 46 41 32
LVORI...........8 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 3
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
then slight chance of thunderstorms early in
the evening. Slight chance of showers early in
the evening.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming
light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....33 decreasing to 7.
LVORI...............4 increasing to 6 in the late evening and
overnight, then increasing to 8 after 3 am
decreasing to 6 early in the morning.
TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM
Sky (%).........73 78 78 77 72 70 68 62 54 50 46 42
Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).40 30 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Temp............86 83 80 79 78 79 78 78 77 76 76 76
RH..............70 77 85 85 88 88 88 88 94 94 97 94
20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT wind spd..10 10 8 7 6 5 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT wind gust.16 16 14 12 10 9 8 7 6 6 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E E E E E
Transp wind spd.13 13 12 12 8 8 7 7 6 6 5 6
Dispersion idx..33 22 10 8 6 5 3 3 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 8 6
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
in the morning. Chance of thunderstorms through
the day. Showers likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 7 mph in the
late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
morning.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL increasing to 4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 7 mph.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 22 late in the morning, then
increasing to 32 early in the afternoon
decreasing to 21 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 5 late in the morning, then
decreasing to 3 late in the morning decreasing
to 2 early in the afternoon increasing to 3.
TIME (EDT) 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
Sky (%).........41 40 38 43 47 51 56 61 66 68 71 73
Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10 20 30 30 30 30 30 30 60 60 60 60
Temp............75 76 77 80 84 87 88 89 90 89 88 87
RH..............100 97 97 88 80 70 68 64 62 64 68 70
20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E E
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7
20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 7 8 9 10 10 12 12 13 13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.5 2.5 3.4 3.8 4.2 4.5 3.9 3.3 2.7
Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E E E E E
Transp wind spd.6 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7
Dispersion idx..3 2 4 11 18 25 28 33 36 30 24 18
LVORI...........9 8 8 5 3 3 3 1 1 2 3 3
$$
Forecaster...Schaper
Requested by...Loghan Lomneck
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2521367.0/MLB
.DELDT 09/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Loghan.Lomneck@myfwc.com