022
FXUS64 KMOB 231212
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
712 AM CDT Fri Oct 23 2026

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 649 AM CDT Fri Oct 23 2026

 - Moderate to strong northeast winds will create hazardous
   conditions for small craft over most of the marine area Friday
   night continuing into early next week.

 - A High Risk of rip currents is expected for beach areas from
   Saturday morning through Monday night.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 711 AM CDT Fri Oct 23 2026

The current forecast is on track and no updates are needed. /13

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 936 PM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026

Dry, seasonable to slightly below seasonable norms continues for
the foreseeable future across the region. Temperatures generally
stay in the middle to upper 70`s most days, with the warmest day
being today where some spots may see lower 80`s. Overnight lows
stay chilly in the middle to upper 40`s over the interior and
lower 50`s near the coast.

We remain on the western periphery of upper troughing the next
couple days before upper ridging begins moving in overhead. A
reinforcing shot of cool, dry air comes in from the northeast
Friday into the weekend as Cold Air Damming sets up across the
Carolinas and spills southwest into our area. This will keep
things quite dry with some fire weather concerns materializing
this weekend as winds strengthen Saturday into Sunday. While
winds won`t be particularly strong, wind gusts of 20 to 30mph
can`t be ruled out this weekend across the area which could cause
localized issues with any weakened/damaged trees across south-
central Alabama into the western Florida Panhandle. Winds and any
lingering fire danger should relax into early next week, with more
or less the same temperatures and dry forecast anticipated as we
head through the first half of the week. A Low risk of rip
currents today will become moderate tonight. The risk rapidly
increases into daybreak Saturday, with a High risk for rip
currents becoming established Saturday morning, lingering through
the day Monday. The risk will gradually tape into the middle of
the week. MM/25

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 711 AM CDT Fri Oct 23 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours. /13

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 936 PM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026

Light to moderate easterly to northeasterly winds this morning
gradually become moderate to strong this evening into tonight,
remaining that way through at least Monday. Moderate easterly to
northeasterly flow prevails Tuesday into the middle of next week.
Seas increase to 4 to 8 feet Saturday into Sunday, gradually
tapering to 3 to 4 feet by Tuesday. A Small Craft Advisory remains
in effect from 1am Saturday through 1am Monday. MM/25

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      80  51  75  51 /   0   0   0   0
Pensacola   79  56  75  57 /   0   0   0   0
Destin      80  55  76  57 /   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   80  43  74  44 /   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  81  45  76  43 /   0   0   0   0
Camden      78  44  72  45 /   0   0   0   0
Crestview   80  45  76  48 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk from Saturday morning through Monday
     evening for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk from Saturday morning through Monday
     evening for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM Saturday to 1 AM CDT Monday for
     GMZ650-655-670-675.

&&

$$