Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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750
FNUS74 KMOB 141401
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Desoto Block 7310 C-7 West...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
801 AM CST Sat Feb 14 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CST on February 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Isolated showers are expected to develop this afternoon,
then become stronger and greater in coverage tonight into Sunday.
Minimum relative humidity values are expected to remain well above
critical values. Southerly surface and transport winds will increase
in strength this afternoon into tonight as a system approaches from
the west.

Fog potential and other remarks...Any remaining fog this morning
will quickly mix out. Fog is not expected tonight with the
increasing winds

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...518-1128 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 20 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 5 to 9 meters/second.
Dispersion index....26 increasing to 67 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 46 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........64     54     71     63
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     10
Temp............64     72     74     74
RH..............70     49     48     50
20 FT wind dir..SE     SSE    SSE    SSE
20 FT wind spd..7      9      10     10
20 FT wind gust.15     20     22     22
Mix hgt (ft)....1700   3300   3700   3200
Mix hgt (m).....520    1010   1130   980
Transp wind dir.SSE    SSE    S      S
Transp wind spd.12     17     18     17
Trans wind dir..SSE    SSE    S      S
Trans spd (m/s).5      8      8      8
Dispersion idx..26     57     65     43
LVORI...........3      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers in the evening, then showers and chance
                    of thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 to 14 mph with gusts to
                    around 29 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms overnight.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...305-610 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 23 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 7 to 10 meters/second.
Dispersion index....18 increasing to 25 early in the morning.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........63     72     76     92     96     95
Weather cov.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).20     20     50     60     60     90
Temp............68     64     63     63     63     63
RH..............68     84     93     100    100    100
20 FT wind dir..SSE    SE     SE     SSE    S      S
20 FT wind spd..12     12     12     13     15     16
20 FT wind gust.21     20     20     20     23     26
Mix hgt (ft)....1000   1700   1700   1700   2000   1500
Mix hgt (m).....300    520    520    520    610    460
Transp wind dir.SE     SE     SE     SSE    S      S
Transp wind spd.16     15     15     15     15     18
Trans wind dir..SE     SE     SE     SSE    S      S
Trans spd (m/s).7      7      7      7      7      8
Dispersion idx..14     17     17     19     20     21
LVORI...........3      4      5      5      5      5

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers in the
                    morning. Chance of thunderstorms through the
                    day. Showers likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 12 to 14 mph shifting to the
                    west 12 to 13 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to
                    30 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the late morning and early afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...366-1372 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 16 to 25 mph shifting to the west 24
                    to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.West 7 to 11 meters/second.
Dispersion index....31 increasing to 80 decreasing to 64 late in
                    the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........89     74     68     70     77     78
Weather cov.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).80     80     80     60     60     60
Temp............63     63     67     71     71     68
RH..............100    100    90     71     71     78
20 FT wind dir..S      SSW    SW     WSW    W      W
20 FT wind spd..16     15     15     14     15     14
20 FT wind gust.30     30     30     30     29     26
Mix hgt (ft)....1200   2800   3900   4100   4400   4500
Mix hgt (m).....370    850    1190   1250   1340   1370
Transp wind dir.SSW    WSW    WSW    WSW    W      W
Transp wind spd.21     17     24     25     25     25
Trans wind dir..SSW    WSW    WSW    WSW    W      W
Trans spd (m/s).9      8      11     11     11     11
Dispersion idx..31     41     64     72     78     71
LVORI...........4      4      4      3      3      3

$$
Forecaster...16
Requested by...Cliff Willis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2602750.0/MOB
.DELDT 02/14/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL clifton.willis@usda.gov