910
FXUS63 KMPX 081725
AFDMPX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1225 PM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A frosty morning today will warm up to eventually have
  afternoon highs near normal (low 60s).

- Above normal temperatures in the 60s and 70s for the
  remainder of the week will be accompanied with mostly quiet
  weather, with the next best chance for precip late this
  weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 318 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025

A cool, frosty, and still night is ongoing across central and
southern Minnesota and western Wisconsin. Several locations
across central Minnesota (north of I-94) and northwestern
Wisconsin are experiencing their first freeze of the season. A
dry airmass is in place, so dewpoints are low enough such that
fog will not be a concern this calm and clear-skied morning.
Temps in the 30s are not expected again for the next 7 days,
with the exception of potentially Friday night in central
Minnesota. So, if your plants survive this morning, they should
have at least another week left in them! High pressure remains
overhead today, before departing to the Great Lakes on Thursday.
Southerly winds will pick up slightly Thursday afternoon as the
high departs, with sustained 10-15MPH and gusts 20-25MPH. A
shift to north-northwesterly surface winds for Friday won`t have
much impact on the above normal temperatures in the forecast.
These warmer than normal high temperatures won`t be as warm as
the previous heat, but upper 60s and low 70s in mid-October is 5
to 10 degrees above normal. We can thank a ridge building aloft
for the warmer, and dry, weather.

Looking into any precipitation chances for this forecast
period, they are hard to come by. With the aforementioned dry
airmass in place and the ridging to come, things will remain
pretty quiet. There is a slight (20-30%) chance for precip east
of I-35 as a weak front passes Thursday night in conjunction
with a small disturbance aloft. The better chance for more
widespread precip arrives late this weekend as a longwave trough
moves across the CONUS. A good soaker isn`t likely despite this
set up, with most guidance showing around a quarter inch max, a
few outliers to a half inch. In addition to rain chances, winds
look to be quite breezy Sunday as the upper- level jet
stretches across the Upper Midwest.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1225 PM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025

VFR conditions to prevail through the 18z TAF period. Occasional
southeasterly gusts between 15-20kts are possible across
western MN this afternoon. Southeast winds decrease to 5-10kts
overnight, before increasing around 14/15z Thursday. Strongest
gusts (25+ kts) are forecast to begin towards the end of the
period and persist through tomorrow afternoon.

KMSP...No additional concerns at this time.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
FRI...VFR. Wind SW bcmg NW 5-15 kts.
SAT...VFR. Wind SE 10-15G20kts.
SUN...VFR. Chc MVFR/-RA. Wind SE 10-15G25kts.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...PV
AVIATION...Strus