386
FXUS66 KMTR 300530
AFDMTR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
930 PM PST Sat Nov 29 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 113 PM PST Sat Nov 29 2025

 - Mild, seasonal temps again today.

 - One more day of persistent fog and stratus in the North Bay
   (Sunday).

 - Gusty offshore winds across the North Bay interior Wednesday
   morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
Issued at 113 PM PST Sat Nov 29 2025
(This evening through Sunday)

Tule fog continues through this weekend with solid moisture
working its way into the North Bay valleys as well. Once again had
to tamp down the temp forecast for these areas today. Persistent
fog and stratus can be expected again tomorrow with at least a
better chance for earlier clearing. Elsewhere, temperatures around
seasonal normals continue with quiet conditions and mostly clear
skies.

&&

.LONG TERM...
Issued at 113 PM PST Sat Nov 29 2025
(Sunday night through next Friday)

Things finally start to change a bit Monday as we dry out during
the afternoons. The passage of a weak mid-level trough promotes
mixing of dry continental air, so we can finally say goodbye to
the all-day cloudiness that we`ve been seeing in the North Bay.
That`ll give everyone a few very nice days going into next week.
Next up is an inside slider that is now being advertised
with reasonable confidence by ensemble guidance. Wednesday morning
we`re anticipating offshore winds across the interior North Bay.
This will result in additional drying across the interior for
these northern zones with daytime RH in the 30-40% range, as well
as some compression of the marine layer. In terms of rain, we`re
still kicking the can down the road so to speak. Not looking good
for rain chances for anyone before the middle of the month.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 922 PM PST Sat Nov 29 2025

Local clouds are beginning to impact the N and E Bay again (repeat
of the last few nights), but widespread high clouds are filtering
over the region making it hard to see the low clouds. Regardless,
sfc obs show cigs with some fog, but not dense fog. Will stay the
course and continue to bring IFR to LIFR conditions through
tomorrow AM with some afternoon clearing.

Vicinity of SFO...SCT have quickly turned to BKN as of 06Z taf.
Will keep CIGS in through Sunday morning. Winds NE.

SFO Bridge Approach...Filling in of CIGS will be 1-3 hrs
later...closer to 08-09Z.

Monterey Bay Terminals...Patchy SCT around MRY. Will still keep a
20-30% chc for CIGS at MRY, but higher conf for SNS late tonight.

&&

.MARINE...
(Tonight through next Friday)
Issued at 827 PM PST Sat Nov 29 2025

High pressure off the Oregon coast will maintain gentle to
moderate northerly breezes through early Sunday. Northerly flow
will increase through out the day on Sunday. Winds will be locally
stronger over the outer waters and coastal jets. Wave heights and
swell energy increase early next week.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 828 PM PST Sat Nov 29 2025

Hazardous beach conditions will continue into next week with a
very energetic surf zone.

A beach hazards statement remains in effect for the coastline
from Sonoma County to Monterey County through 10 PM PST Sunday
evening. Sneaker waves can unexpectedly run significantly farther
up the beach than normal, including over rocks and jetties. Rip
currents are typically more frequent and stronger in the vicinity
of jetties, inlets, and piers.

A set of forerunner waves arrive early next week renewing the
danger for sneaker waves.

&&

.MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...Beach Hazards Statement through Sunday evening for CAZ006-505-
     509-529-530.

PZ...Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM to 9 PM PST Sunday for Pt Arena
     to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm.

     Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM to 9 PM PST Sunday for Pt Pinos
     to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.

     Small Craft Advisory from 3 AM Sunday to 3 AM PST Monday for Pt
     Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM Sunday to 3 AM PST Monday for
     Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Behringer
LONG TERM....Behringer
AVIATION...MM
MARINE...MM

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