Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA

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718
FNUS86 KMTR 010743
FWLMTR

ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
1243 AM PDT Mon Sep 1 2025

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##            Discussions from the latest FWF below                ##
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...Discussion from SFOFWFMTR...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT IN THE INTERIOR MOUNTAINS THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING DUE TO LOW RH AND MODERATE AFTERNOON BREEZES...

One more day of warm and dry conditions leading to  elevated fire
weather concerns before a cooling trend sets in  Tuesday, and will
continue through the remainder of the extended  forecast. Elevated
interior locations and locations above the  compressed marine layer
closer to the coast will see poor RH  recovery overnight remaining
in the 10%-25% range. Onshore flow  will increase this afternoon out
ahead of an upper level low  approaching from the southwest while we
transition from the  influence of ridging to our east and the
arrival of the offshore  disturbance to our southwest.

We are also watching a low probability-high impact scenario for
elevated thunderstorms as early as late this afternoon that will
continue into Tuesday. The North Bay, Bay Area and East Bay Hills
are the favored locations for the non-zero chances of convection,
with cloud to ground lightning and gusty winds as the primary
concern.

...Discussion from SFOFWFEKA...

Temperatures are expected to warm several degrees this afternoon and
again Tuesday afternoon. Afternoon RH will  generally be in the
teens and will remain poor overnight on the mid and upper slopes.
Winds will generally be diurnally and  terrain driven Monday. There
is a slight chance of afternoon and evening thunderstorms on
Tuesday, mainly in Trinity county. In  addition, gusty winds
combined with hot temperatures and low  relative humidity will
increase fire danger. Wednesday through the end of the week gradual
cooling is expected with highs mainly in  the 80s by Saturday.


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##       Complete a discussion for each ECCDA segment below        ##
##      When done click transmit, product sent as KMTRFWLMTR       ##
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ECC010-011945-
St Helena ECC Dispatch-
DISCUSSION FOR Marin and Sonoma and Napa Counties
1243 AM PDT Mon Sep 1 2025

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT IN THE INTERIOR MOUNTAINS THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING DUE TO LOW RH AND MODERATE AFTERNOON BREEZES...

One more day of warm and dry conditions leading to  elevated fire
weather concerns before a cooling trend sets in  Tuesday, and will
continue through the remainder of the extended  forecast. Elevated
interior locations and locations above the  compressed marine layer
closer to the coast will see poor RH  recovery overnight remaining
in the 10%-25% range. Onshore flow  will increase this afternoon out
ahead of an upper level low  approaching from the southwest while we
transition from the  influence of ridging to our east and the
arrival of the offshore  disturbance to our southwest.

We are also watching a low probability-high impact scenario for
elevated thunderstorms as early as late this afternoon that will
continue into Tuesday. The North Bay, Bay Area and East Bay Hills
are the favored locations for the non-zero chances of convection,
with cloud to ground lightning and gusty winds as the primary
concern.

$$

ECC014-011945-
Morgan Hill ECC Dispatch-
DISCUSSION FOR Alameda and Contra Costa and Santa Clara Counties
1243 AM PDT Mon Sep 1 2025

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT IN THE INTERIOR MOUNTAINS THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING DUE TO LOW RH AND MODERATE AFTERNOON BREEZES...

One more day of warm and dry conditions leading to  elevated fire
weather concerns before a cooling trend sets in  Tuesday, and will
continue through the remainder of the extended  forecast. Elevated
interior locations and locations above the  compressed marine layer
closer to the coast will see poor RH  recovery overnight remaining
in the 10%-25% range. Onshore flow  will increase this afternoon out
ahead of an upper level low  approaching from the southwest while we
transition from the  influence of ridging to our east and the
arrival of the offshore  disturbance to our southwest.

We are also watching a low probability-high impact scenario for
elevated thunderstorms as early as late this afternoon that will
continue into Tuesday. The North Bay, Bay Area and East Bay Hills
are the favored locations for the non-zero chances of convection,
with cloud to ground lightning and gusty winds as the primary
concern.

$$

ECC013-011945-
Felton ECC Dispatch-
DISCUSSION FOR Santa Cruz and San Mateo Counties
1243 AM PDT Mon Sep 1 2025

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT IN THE INTERIOR MOUNTAINS THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING DUE TO LOW RH AND MODERATE AFTERNOON BREEZES...

One more day of warm and dry conditions leading to  elevated fire
weather concerns before a cooling trend sets in  Tuesday, and will
continue through the remainder of the extended  forecast. Elevated
interior locations and locations above the  compressed marine layer
closer to the coast will see poor RH  recovery overnight remaining
in the 10%-25% range. Onshore flow  will increase this afternoon out
ahead of an upper level low  approaching from the southwest while we
transition from the  influence of ridging to our east and the
arrival of the offshore  disturbance to our southwest.

We are also watching a low probability-high impact scenario for
elevated thunderstorms as early as late this afternoon that will
continue into Tuesday. The North Bay, Bay Area and East Bay Hills
are the favored locations for the non-zero chances of convection,
with cloud to ground lightning and gusty winds as the primary
concern.

$$

ECC018-011945-
Monterey ECC Dispatch-
DISCUSSION FOR Monterey and San Benito County
1243 AM PDT Mon Sep 1 2025

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT IN THE INTERIOR MOUNTAINS THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING DUE TO LOW RH AND MODERATE AFTERNOON BREEZES...

One more day of warm and dry conditions leading to  elevated fire
weather concerns before a cooling trend sets in  Tuesday, and will
continue through the remainder of the extended  forecast. Elevated
interior locations and locations above the  compressed marine layer
closer to the coast will see poor RH  recovery overnight remaining
in the 10%-25% range. Onshore flow  will increase this afternoon out
ahead of an upper level low  approaching from the southwest while we
transition from the  influence of ridging to our east and the
arrival of the offshore  disturbance to our southwest.

We are also watching a low probability-high impact scenario for
elevated thunderstorms as early as late this afternoon that will
continue into Tuesday. The North Bay, Bay Area and East Bay Hills
are the favored locations for the non-zero chances of convection,
with cloud to ground lightning and gusty winds as the primary
concern.

$$