821
FXUS63 KOAX 031719
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
1119 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Chances for rain continue across the region tonight into
  Tuesday. Additional chances for rain are expected Thursday
  into Friday.

- Cooler temperatures arrive Wednesday and Thursday with some
  areas struggling to get out of the 40s.

- Portions of northeastern Nebraska will have lows fall to
  around freezing Friday and Saturday mornings.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1120 PM CST Mon Nov 2 2026

The forecast period begins with two mid-level low pressure systems
across the middle of the nation. The norther low is currently over
western Minnesota/eastern South Dakota with a cold front trailing
south into extreme northwestern Iowa and central/eastern Nebraska.
The northern low has been pulling warm, gulf moisture into it.
Showers and weak thunderstorms have been kicking off along the front
for much of the evening, and will continue to do so as it sags south
across the region overnight. Expect additional showers to develop in
association with the southern low, which is currently located over
western Kansas and the Oklahoma panhandle. This low will lift to the
northeast overnight, bringing in moisture from the Pacific. This
system should start moving into our forecast area by daybreak,
tapping into gulf moisture later in the day.

Rain chances will continue through much of the daytime hours,
eventually tapering of from southwest to northeast after sunset.
Cooler air pushes into the region tomorrow with highs topping out in
the low to mid-50s for areas along and north of the I-80 corridor.
Areas closer to the Nebraska/Kansas/Missouri/Iowa border can expect
to reach the low to mid-60s. Overnight lows will fall into the upper
30s for areas north of a line from David City to Norfolk.

Wednesday, the low continues to slowly lift to the northeast.
Northern Nebraska and extreme northwestern Iowa may get clipped by a
few wrap around showers. Breezy conditions set up, particularly for
northern Nebraska and extreme northwestern Iowa, with gust
approaching 25-30mph in spots.

Zonal flow sets up over the region Thursday and Friday as the low
lifts into the Great Lakes region. A lobe of energy may move across
the CWA through the day Thursday, bringing a 20-30% chance of a few
showers. Conditions will dry out by Thursday evening, persisting
into the weekend. Heading into the weekend, a ridge builds to the
west, shifting slightly east. Expect highs to return to the 50s and
60s. Friday and Saturday morning, low temperatures will fall into
the low to mid-30s. Those with agricultural interests will want to
monitor the forecast.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1119 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

MVFR to IFR conditions to prevail through the period, with
showers and drizzle lingering through this evening and into the
overnight for some. Still some questions on how widespread and
heavy any drizzle will be this evening. For now, kept 5SM
mention, but can`t rule out some IFR visibility with any heavier
drizzle. Otherwise, winds will remain northwesterly, with gusts
of 25-35 kts this afternoon, and slightly weakening this evening
and overnight.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...ANW
AVIATION...CA