603
FXUS63 KOAX 031749
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
1149 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A cold front will continue to move through the region today,
  bringing colder air and a small chance for a few flurries or
  drizzle to the region this morning.

- Wednesday night/Thursday morning brings some of the coldest
  temperatures we`ve had this fall/winter. Expected lows by
  Thursday morning will be below zero in most areas.

- Thursday remains cold, with a warm up expected heading into
  the weekend. Near-seasonal temperatures may return next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 401 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

A cold front has entered the northern part of the Omaha CWA this
morning, bringing with it much colder air. Ahead of the front, there
is a very small chance (5-10%) of some patchy drizzle/freezing
drizzle through around sunrise. Otherwise, flurries will be possible
across the region this morning, gradually tapering off from
northwest to southeast by early afternoon. Little to no accumulation
is expected with this system as it moves through. Noticeably colder
air will move into the region today, dropping temperatures through
the course of the day.

Heading into tonight, bitterly cold temperatures are expected as
colder air moves in, skies clear out, and winds die down. Low
temperatures Thursday morning will be below zero in most locations,
with some areas falling to around or colder than -10F. Wind chill
values will range from 0 to -10 for areas along and south of a line
from Lincoln to Clarinda, and -10 to -20 for areas north.

Thursday, a ridge inches closer to the West Coast, with northwest
flow setting up over the region. The cold will remain in the region,
with expected highs in the teens for western Iowa and the teens and
20s for eastern Nebraska. Conditions warm up slightly on Friday and
Saturday as highs return to the 30s.

Saturday morning, a mid-level shortwave trough will drop into the
region. Areas north of the Platte River may get clipped with a
little bit of snow Saturday morning through Sunday morning. At this
time, little to no accumulation is expected; however, continue to
monitor the forecast for changes in the coming days.

Monday through the extended forecast, models continue to show the
ridge over the West Coast shifting east, bringing a gradual warming
trend to near normal.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1149 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

MVFR and VFR ceilings are observed at the start of the TAF
period. Satellite imagery is showing gradual clearing at KOMA,
while stratus lingers across KOFK and KLNK. MVFR ceilings may
linger at KOFK and KLNK through at least 00 and 03z,
respectively. 20 to 25kt wind gusts from the north northwest
will continue into the afternoon hours, largely subsiding by
00z. Winds turn to the south southwest overnight, becoming gusty
again especially at KOFK by 16z. Finally, a few hi-res models
try to develop fog/MVFR ceilings across all three terminals
overnight, but confidence remains too low for mention in TAF at
this time.


&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...ANW
AVIATION...Castillo