Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
Versions:
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FNUS73 KOAX 111358
FWSOAX
Spot Forecast for HNC 11/11...Partner Agency
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
758 AM CST Tue Nov 11 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CST on November 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Considerably warmer temperatures are expected today compared to
the past couple of days with a high near 60F. Afternoon relative
humidity will fall to near 40 percent. Southwest to west winds at
10 to 15 mph will switch to northwest at 10 to 15 mph by about
2:00 PM.
Minimal wildfire concerns are expected on Wednesday as high
pressure builds through the region. Temperatures will be a bit
cooler, but still above normal for this time of year with highs
in the mid 50s to low 60s. Minimum relative humidity of 38 to 48
percent is forecast with light northwest winds switching to south
by Wednesday afternoon.
Strongest Possible Wind Speeds on Day of Burn: 23-26 mph gusts
Lowest Possible Relative Humidity on Day of Burn: 37-41%
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Temperature.........41 at ignition...Max 61.
RH..................58 percent at ignition...Min 42 percent.
Eye level winds.....West winds up to 5 mph shifting to the
northwest up to 6 mph with gusts to around 13
mph in the afternoon.
Surface winds (mph).Northwest winds 6 to 10 mph with gusts to
around 22 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southwest at 7 mph at
ignition...otherwise Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph
with gusts to around 18 mph.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 14 mph shifting to the northwest 10
to 17 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /6900 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...fair
/22800 knot-ft/.
GFDI................1.
TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........58 40 38 45 30 24 8 6 2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............41 44 50 55 58 59 61 59 56
RH..............58 55 48 45 44 44 42 44 47
20 FT wind dir..SW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..7 7 6 7 8 8 7 6 5
20 FT wind gust. 10 10 14 18 17 16 11 8
Eye lvl wnd dir.SW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.5 5 4 5 6 6 5 4 4
Eye lvl wnd gst. 8 8 10 13 13 12 8 6
Surface wnd dir.SW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW
Surface wnd spd.9 9 8 9 10 10 9 8 6
Surface wnd gst. 13 13 17 22 21 20 14 10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.5 1.6 0.8 0.4
Transp wind dir.W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.14 13 13 15 17 16 16 13 10
GFDI............0 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 1
SDspl kt-ft/10007 9 12 15 19 22 23 17 9
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Temperature.........Min 33.
RH..................Max 92 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds around 4 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Surface winds (mph).Northwest winds around 6 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1300 knot-ft).
GFDI................0.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........3 4 6 4 4 5 4 4 4 5 14 12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............52 47 45 43 42 40 39 39 37 36 36 35
RH..............52 60 65 67 70 76 79 79 82 82 82 82
20 FT wind dir..NW NW W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4
20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW NW W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3
Eye lvl wnd gst.5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4
Surface wnd dir.NW NW W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW
Surface wnd spd.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5
Surface wnd gst.8 7 7 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.NW NW NW NW W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.10 10 10 12 13 13 12 12 12 12 12 12
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SDspl kt-ft/10003 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Temperature.........Max 57.
RH..................Min 47 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming northwest around 4 mph
late in the morning, then becoming light late
in the afternoon.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming northwest around 6 mph
late in the morning, then becoming light late
in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph
late in the morning, then becoming light late
in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 10 mph shifting to the south
around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1300 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to fair (13600 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
GFDI................0.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........30 31 19 14 26 27 21 21 25 29 28 25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............35 33 36 41 45 50 54 56 57 57 55 53
RH..............82 92 85 76 70 61 52 49 47 47 51 52
20 FT wind dir..NW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N
20 FT wind spd..4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 4 2 0
20 FT wind gust.
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N
Eye lvl wnd spd.3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 1 0
Eye lvl wnd gst.
Surface wnd dir.NW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N
Surface wnd spd.5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 5 3 0
Surface wnd gst.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.2 0.8 0.4
Transp wind dir.NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W SW S
Transp wind spd.10 9 8 7 8 7 8 8 8 7 6 6
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SDspl kt-ft/10003 2 1 2 4 7 10 13 14 13 10 5
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 60s.
South winds around 6 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 60s. South
winds around 10 mph.
$$
Forecaster...Nicolaisen
Requested by...Aric Ping
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525583.0/OAX
.DELDT 11/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL aric.ping@pottcounty-ia.gov