902
FXUS64 KOHX 121128
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
528 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 525 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025

- Quiet wx with a warming trend rest of this week. Highs in the
  70s likely by Saturday.

- A more unsettled, wetter pattern next week.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Thursday Night)
Issued at 955 PM CST Tue Nov 11 2025

Clear, crisp conditions made for great viewing of a fantastic
northern lights display Tuesday night. And our wx the next few
days will be pretty fantastic, at least by November standards.
Dry high pressure will be in place at the surface with dry
northwest flow aloft. High temperatures through Thursday will be
mainly in the lower to mid 60s with lows in the 30s to lower 40s.
Winds will be much lighter than the past couple of days with
mainly sunny skies. Light winds Wednesday night will allow some
areas of fog to form.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 955 PM CST Tue Nov 11 2025

A building upper ridge will keep our weather quiet through the
end of the week while pushing temperatures up into "warm"
territory for Friday and Saturday. We will see a slight increase
in moisture and an increase in temperatures by Friday with highs
in the upper 60s and lower 70s, then well into the 70s Saturday.

Models are still showing our next chance for rain possibly moving
in on Sunday. Models have not been consistent at all with the
timing and intensity of systems next week. But, in spite of great
forecast uncertainty, I think we can say next week will bring a
more unsettled, wet, and mild pattern.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 525 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025

VFR conditions prevail this taf cycle. Winds will shift out the
west this morning with periodic gusts up to 20 kts through the
afternoon. Light and variable winds are expected overnight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      65  37  65  44 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    64  35  64  44 /   0   0   0  10
Crossville     56  32  59  37 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       66  37  67  42 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     59  34  60  39 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      56  33  58  38 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   65  36  65  41 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   64  35  65  41 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        63  37  64  44 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION.....Baggett