285
FXUS64 KOHX 010328
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1028 PM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1028 PM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

- Low to medium rain chances return to the forecast starting on Labor
  Day. Severe weather is not expected.

- Temperatures in the upper 70s to mid 80s for highs through the
  forecast period.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 1028 PM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

Satellite shows some mid to upper level clouds moving in from the NW
this evening. Expect overnight lows to dip into the upper 50s and
low 60s. Labor Day should be quiet for many of us, with highs in the
upper 70s to upper 80s. However, rain chances increase in the
afternoon for areas mainly south of I-40 and east of I-65. This
increase in rain chances is due to the development of an inverted
surface trough over the region. If you plan on enjoying Labor Day
outside, just be aware of your thunderstorm risk for the day and
know where to shelter if thunder roars!

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Monday)
Issued at 1028 PM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

Guidance shows that rain chances will only increase into the work
week. Tuesday into Wednesday looks like our greatest risk, with a
medium-high (70-80%) chance of a wetting rain, which is at least
0.10". Once you bump up accumulation to half an inch, chances drop
into the low category (20-30%). Thursday brings another opportunity
for low to medium rain chances, but after that, things dry out.
Temperatures look to stay in the upper 70s to mid 80s through the
work week, adding to days with below normal temperatures for this
time of year.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 613 PM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

VFR conditions expected for this TAF cycle as very dry air remains
in place. Low chance of showers and storms tomorrow afternoon will
preclude any inclusion in this set of mid-state TAFs. Look for
light winds to continue, but shift to the southeast/south
tomorrow.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      61  86  64  80 /   0  30  40  50
Clarksville    58  88  63  81 /   0  10  40  50
Crossville     58  76  58  72 /   0  30  40  50
Columbia       59  86  63  81 /   0  30  50  50
Cookeville     60  79  60  74 /   0  30  40  50
Jamestown      57  76  58  72 /   0  30  30  50
Lawrenceburg   59  84  61  79 /   0  40  50  50
Murfreesboro   60  84  62  80 /   0  30  40  50
Waverly        56  87  62  81 /   0  10  40  50

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Holley
LONG TERM....Holley
AVIATION.....Unger