448
FXUS64 KOUN 021749
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1149 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1132 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

 - A cold front Wednesday will bring colder weather into Thursday.
   Breezy post-frontal winds may give way to single digit to teens
   wind chill values.

 - There is a slight chance for light wintry precipitation
   Thursday morning across western north Texas and far southern
   Oklahoma.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Through Tuesday)
Issued at 1212 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

Surface ridge will continue to push off to the east today as lee
troughing increasing along the Rockies. That being said, southerly
winds will return across the southern Plains by this afternoon.
Temperatures will be much warmer this afternoon beneath sunny
skies. We will mostly see afternoon highs in the 50s for the
entire area.

Bunker

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tuesday night through Thursday night)
Issued at 1212 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

A weak front will begin to move into the northwest portions of
Oklahoma on Tuesday night. Overnight temperatures ahead of this
boundary will be in the low to mid 30s, and into the 20s along and
behind the front. The next mid-level trough will dig into the
Desert Southwest on Wednesday, helping to push the front through
the area by the late morning hours. Winds behind the front area
expected to be breezy, and will roughly be between 15-25 mph. The
drier air will keep afternoon highs similar to Tuesday, with most
locations in the 50s and perhaps even low 60s across southern
Oklahoma.

As the main wave traverses the Rockies Thursday morning, there is
a low chance for wintry mix across portions of western north
Texas and southern Oklahoma. These chances are low at this time,
as drier mid- level and low-level air may inhibit any
precipitation at all. Should precipitation begin in the morning,
it will transition to rain during the late morning and early
afternoon as temperatures warm up above freezing. At this time,
little-to-no accumulation is expected.

Bunker

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 1212 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

By Friday and Saturday, temperatures are expected to rebound back
up into the 50s to 60s, with dry conditions. Another cold front
will move in Saturday evening, knocking temperatures down a few
degrees on Sunday. Dry conditions will continue through the
weekend and into the early portions of next week.

Bunker

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1132 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

All of our terminals should remain in a VFR category through the
entire forecast period.

A surface low lee of the Colorado/New Mexico Rockies will
maintain south-southwest surface winds through the next 6-hours
at 10 kts gusting to 15kts. After 00Z surface winds will back
south-southeast decreasing 5-10 kts. A low-level jet is expected
to increase out of the south by 06Z which could produce low-level
wind shear conditions impacting all terminals except for KCSM &
KWWR for about 6 hours. A cold front will start approaching
northwest Oklahoma around 12Z producing a northerly wind shift at
15 kts gusting to 25 kts behind the front. Expecting the frontal
boundary/wind shift to have moved through terminals KWWR and KCSM
by 16Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  50  30  49  25 /   0   0  10  10
Hobart OK         53  29  52  24 /   0   0  10  10
Wichita Falls TX  54  36  58  31 /   0   0   0  10
Gage OK           54  25  46  20 /   0   0  10  10
Ponca City OK     50  27  47  20 /   0   0  10  10
Durant OK         50  32  58  33 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...13
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION...68