Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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FXUS63 KPAH 272253
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
553 PM CDT Sun Sep 27 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cool and mainly dry weather with pleasant temperatures in the
  70s/50s continues thru Monday.

- More summer-like 80s and 60s are expected by the middle of the
  week, with rain chances appearing over the back half of the
  week, and possibly some thunderstorms or a chance thereof.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 549 PM CDT Sun Sep 27 2026

Updated aviation discussion for 00z TAFs.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1200 PM CDT Sun Sep 27 2026

No modeling has captured the extent of the clouds and spotty
sprinkles over a sliver of our western-third of the FA
yesterday or today. Nevertheless, the main theme of pleasantly
cool and dry 70s/50s will hold thru Monday. The strength of hold
of high pressure loosens Tuesday as near surface flow shifts
from the reinforcing cool northeasterlies to warmer advecting
southerlies, leading to a marked warmup for the back half of the
week. We`ll be into summer-like 80s/60s by Wednesday, with
daily rain chances reappearing by Thursday, and continuing into
next weekend. This wetter pattern may yield appreciable
cumulative rainfall measured in 3 decimals instead of 2, and at
least a chance of thunderstorms appears poised to return to the
forecast picture by week`s end; that`s when a cold front makes
approach and passage, leading to another cooldown into the 70s
heading into the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 549 PM CDT Sun Sep 27 2026

Persistent SCT-BKN mid and high cloud that has been streaming
across the region should gradually erode through the night and
into Monday morning leaving behind mainly clear skies through
the day. Can`t rule out some patchy fog overnight given the calm
winds and general clearing trend. However, the dry column in
place in the low levels should tend to negate widespread fog
formation.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...SP
DISCUSSION...DH
AVIATION...SP