Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY
480 FXUS63 KPAH 250345 AFDPAH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 1045 PM CDT Sat Oct 24 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Comfortably mild and pleasant conditions are forecast for the next 7 days. - When is the next chance of rain? Maybe a small chance appears next weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1200 PM CDT Sat Oct 24 2026 "The force is strong with that one, Yoda"...that is the main driver of our current wx pattern...the upper level ridge that holds strong thru mid week. As a result, we expect carbon copy conditions each day, with highs 75-80F and lows 45-50F generally over most of the area thru Wednesday. Any patchy daybreak fog that develops will be shallow and short-lived. What happens mid-week with the pattern is not much of a change, but a temporary, subtle weakening in the aforementioned force of the upper level ridge as a minor perturbation in the flow kinks across the Mid MS Valley. The only tangible impact here is seen on time/height cross sections as a manifested increase in upper level moisture, i.e. a little spill-over high cloud from the broader scale Plains troffing as the ridge weakens, and more swly flow aloft spills it in/across our area visa vi the perturbation; we`re still far removed from tangible sensible wx impacts. Temps hold about the same in the upper half 70s but the increase in cloud cover may hold lows closer to around 50F versus the tad cooler mid 40s that exist in some locales earlier in the week. The ridge reamplifies for us by the end of the week, as it is teleconnectively sandwiched between the primary height falls over the Intermountain West, and the cyclone off the Eastern Seaboard. Depending upon the exact placement of that ridge, we`ll either continue with dry weather or perhaps, it is displaced just enough to the east that downstream height falls from the west start to impact more of the MS valley. If that occurs, we just might see some small rain chances appear by Halloween, but at this writing, it looks to be minimally impactful even if it occurs, as the primary low pressure troffing is still far displaced westward over the MT-WY Rockies. && .AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/... Issued at 1045 PM CDT Sat Oct 24 2026 Satellite trends suggest a little better potential for fog formation across southeast Missouri and western Kentucky tonight. Widespread dense fog appears unlikely but ground fog, particularly near bodies of water appears likely through early this morning. Otherwise VFR conditions with light winds remains anticipated. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. && $$ DISCUSSION... AVIATION...JGG