912
FXUS63 KPAH 100533
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1133 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Wind chills in the teens tonight and Monday night.

- A chance of flurries or light snow showers tonight into
  Monday, with best chances north and east, where a dusting on
  grassy surfaces is possible.

- A warmup begins by mid week with temperatures returning to
  the 60s, and 70s forecast by the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 100 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

The heart of the giant long wave cyclone makes mid Ohio River
Valley passage late tonight into Monday. As a result, it drags
down the coldest of the cold polar air mass, plummeting
temperatures into the hard freeze 20s the next 2 nights, as
wind chills bottom out in the teens. Highs Monday struggle to
attain 40 degrees, which is a good 20+ degrees below normal. The
strong PVA rotating across the area with the mean trof axis may
even squeeze out a few flurries or light snow showers while
this occurs, with best chances north and east closest to the
center of the cyclone; would not be shocked to see a dusting on
grassy surfaces, but no significant accumulations are expected.

Surface high pressure takes over thereafter, and by the mid
week, upper height rises correspond with a nice warmup that
ensues. We`ll see 60s return to the forecast over the back half
of the work week, with 70s reemerging by the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1133 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

4-5kft ceilings may come and go some overnight, but an upper low
is still expected bring another area of MVFR ceilings through
KEVV and KOWB in the morning. It will also be accompanied by
MVFR or IFR visibilities in light snow for an hour or two.
Northwest winds will be gusty overnight, but will increase early
in the morning approach of the upper low. Gusts 25-30kts will
be possible at KEVV and KOWB. Otherwise, gusts 15-25kts will be
common throughout the area through the day. Finally, winds will
calm down and skies will clear by sunset.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

AVIATION...DRS