373
FXUS63 KPAH 211750
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1150 AM CST Fri Nov 21 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- More beneficial rain is expected today, additional rainfall
  around 0.25-1" expected by Saturday morning.

- Dry weather expected for the weekend before more rain returns
  Monday into Tuesday.

- Temperatures cool down for Thanksgiving next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 143 AM CST Fri Nov 21 2025

A weak warm front is currently stalled out across the area as a sfc
low tracks through the region today. This will bring more chances
for scattered to numerous showers and storms today. Some drier mid-
level air could bring a lull in activity in the afternoon before
another round of rain passes through during the evening and
overnight. Severe threat is very limited due to the lack of
instability and weak lapse rates. Additional rainfall amounts around
0.25-1" are possible.

High pressure builds in this weekend and helps us to dry out
with highs in the 50s and 60s. Early next week another trof
aloft ejects into the Plains. This system brings another round
of wet weather for Monday into Tuesday as a sfc low tracks
through the Midwest. This sfc low will bring a cold front
through the area Tuesday. Behind the front colder and drier air
fills in. By Wednesday night, broad, longwave troughing aloft
takes over pulling down much cooler air into the region in time
for Thanksgiving and beyond. Expect temperatures for
Thanksgiving to be below normal.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1124 AM CST Fri Nov 21 2025

Continued poor flight conditions are expected through much of
the TAF period. Rain is lifting north ahead of a frontal
boundary with only north and eastern terminals expecting rain
over the next few hours. We see a lull in activity this
afternoon before additional rain chances return as a surface low
moves across the region. Some limited improvement to MVFR is
possible during this lull before IFR/LIFR conditions return with
low cigs and fog. Skies begin to scatter late in the period,
mainly after 15Z. Winds will turn toward the north this evening
and continue into Saturday around 5 knots.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...HICKFORD
AVIATION...AD