392
FXUS63 KPAH 102305
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
505 PM CST Mon Nov 10 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Another 24-36 hours of chilly temperatures with wind chill
  values in the teens and 20s again tonight into Veterans Day.

- A nice warmup returns 60s for the back half of the work week,
  with 70s possible by next weekend; that`s also when the next
  chance of rain and potential for storms occurs.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 100 PM CST Mon Nov 10 2025

One more night (and day) of this chilly plunge of polar air and
the warmup ensues thereafter, but not before we continue our
endurance of freezing temperatures with teens and 20s wind
chills, which will persist tonight into Veterans Day.

After that, it`s synoptic pattern upper height recovery with
surface high pressure sliding east and offering return flow
that enables temperatures to climb right back into seasonally
mild 60s for the back half of the work week. The warmup
continues into the weekend, when some 70s start to make their
reemergence. That`s also when some moisture makes a return, and
a system comes into the forecast picture that`ll give us our
next best chance of rain, and potentially storms. The new GFS
looks likes it is bifurcating two waves to our north and south,
while the ensembles and some of their machine-learning output
suggests a broad swath of thunder possible along/ahead of the
wave(s) approach; something to keep an eye upon.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 502 PM CST Mon Nov 10 2025

VFR conditions expected through the end of the period. Winds are
already going light and variable but generally still out of the
north and northwest. Overnight winds will turn to the southwest
and will pick up again during the day tomorrow with gusts of
20-25 kts. An upper level broken cloud deck moves in tomorrow as
well.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...HICKFORD