Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY
706
FNUS53 KPAH 161840
FWFPAH
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1240 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Low relative humidity values in the 20 to 30% range will continue
on Monday before a significant increase in moisture arrives
Monday night with the risk of a wetting rain. Daily shower and
storm chances will continue through the entire week, with the
heaviest rainfall occurring Thursday night into Friday. Total
rainfall between 1 to 3 inches is expected. Low mixing heights
around 2000 feet through Tuesday will yield poor smoke dispersion.
MOZ098-100-106>108-171015-
Shannon-Wayne MO-Oregon-Carter-Ripley-
1240 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 60 30
High Temperature(F) 56-60 75-79
Minimum RH(%) 25-30 52-57
Low Temperature(F) 34-38 46-50
Maximum RH(%) 52-57 95-100
Temp (24h trend) 35 (-12) 60 (-6) 47 79
RH % (24h trend) 55 (-27) 28 (+7) 99 55
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var E 3-7 G23 Lgt/Var S 3-7 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var SE 4-8 G26 Lgt/Var SW 4-8 G21
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.04 0.01
Precip Duration 1 2 1
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing 6 AM
Precip End Continuing Continuing 12 PM
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 580 1080
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 1910 3540
1700`Mix Hgt Temp 60 70
Transport Wnd (kts) SE 14 W 11
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 7 W 6
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 4060 6480
Dispersion Index Poor Poor
DSI STBL SLGT UNSTBL
Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in
the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs around 60. West
winds around 5 mph.
$$
MOZ076-086-087-171015-
Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-
1240 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Showers Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 70 50
High Temperature(F) 57-61 71-75
Minimum RH(%) 23-28 62-67
Low Temperature(F) 31-35 45-49
Maximum RH(%) 56-61 86-91
Temp (24h trend) 33 (-13) 60 (-1) 46 75
RH % (24h trend) 59 (-27) 26 (+2) 89 65
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var E 3-7 SE 4-8 G17 S 6-10 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var SE 4-8 G20 S 4-8 G18 SW 6-10 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.09 0.06
Precip Duration 1 8 2
Precip Begin 3 PM Continuing 6 AM
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 640 540
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2110 1780
1700`Mix Hgt Temp 59 70
Transport Wnd (kts) SE 11 W 10
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 6 W 5
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3840 2700
Dispersion Index Poor Poor
DSI STBL STBL
Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs around 70. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 50s. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
MOZ109>112-114-171015-
Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
1240 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 70 50
High Temperature(F) 59-63 72-76
Minimum RH(%) 22-27 61-66
Low Temperature(F) 34-38 49-53
Maximum RH(%) 57-62 85-90
Temp (24h trend) 35 (-14) 62 (-1) 50 76
RH % (24h trend) 60 (-35) 25 (0) 88 64
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var E 4-8 G17 SE 3-7 S 7-11 G26
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var SE 4-8 G18 S 5-9 G20 SW 8-12 G26
Precip Amount 0.00 0.05 0.08 0.05
Precip Duration 1 6 2
Precip Begin 3 PM Continuing 6 AM
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 650 540
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2120 1770
1700`Mix Hgt Temp 62 73
Transport Wnd (kts) SE 12 SW 15
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 6 SW 8
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3900 4320
Dispersion Index Poor Poor
DSI STBL STBL
Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. West
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 70.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs around 60. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs around 60.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ILZ084-085-088-089-092-093-171015-
Jackson-Williamson-Union IL-Johnson-Alexander-Pulaski-
1240 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Showers Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 80 70
High Temperature(F) 58-62 69-73
Minimum RH(%) 22-27 65-70
Low Temperature(F) 32-36 46-50
Maximum RH(%) 53-58 80-85
Temp (24h trend) 33 (-14) 61 (+1) 48 72
RH % (24h trend) 56 (-32) 25 (+1) 83 68
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var E 3-7 SE 3-7 S 6-10 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var SE 4-8 SE 4-8 G17 SW 6-10 G21
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.13 0.08
Precip Duration 1 9 6
Precip Begin 5 PM Continuing 6 AM
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 700 470
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2290 1530
1700`Mix Hgt Temp 58 70
Transport Wnd (kts) SE 11 SW 11
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 6 SW 6
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 4200 2820
Dispersion Index Poor Poor
DSI STBL STBL
Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs around 70. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ILZ086-087-090-091-094-171015-
Saline-Gallatin-Pope-Hardin-Massac-
1240 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 80 80
High Temperature(F) 57-61 68-72
Minimum RH(%) 22-27 62-67
Low Temperature(F) 30-34 44-48
Maximum RH(%) 56-61 73-78
Temp (24h trend) 31 (-15) 61 (+1) 45 72
RH % (24h trend) 59 (-31) 25 (+2) 76 65
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 5-9 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var SE 3-7 SE 3-7 G17 SW 5-9 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.15
Precip Duration 8 6
Precip Begin 7 PM 6 AM
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 690 450
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2250 1460
1700`Mix Hgt Temp 57 70
Transport Wnd (kts) SE 9 SW 10
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 5 SW 5
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3450 2250
Dispersion Index Poor Poor
DSI STBL STBL
Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs around 70. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the upper 50s.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
ILZ075>078-080>083-171015-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-
1240 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 90 90
High Temperature(F) 56-60 66-70
Minimum RH(%) 21-26 64-69
Low Temperature(F) 28-32 43-47
Maximum RH(%) 60-65 80-85
Temp (24h trend) 29 (-15) 59 (+1) 44 71
RH % (24h trend) 63 (-16) 24 (+2) 83 67
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 3-7 S 5-9 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var SE 4-8 G17 SE 4-8 G17 S 5-9 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.14
Precip Duration 11 6
Precip Begin 7 PM 6 AM
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 700 480
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2290 1570
1700`Mix Hgt Temp 55 67
Transport Wnd (kts) SE 9 W 9
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 5 W 5
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3500 2400
Dispersion Index Poor Poor
DSI STBL STBL
Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around
50. Highs in the mid 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper
60s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in
the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ014-015-018>020-171015-
Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-Warrick-Spencer-Union KY-Webster-
Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
1240 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025 /140 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025/
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 90 90
High Temperature(F) 55-59 63-67
Minimum RH(%) 21-26 65-70
Low Temperature(F) 28-32 42-46
Maximum RH(%) 60-65 78-83
Temp (24h trend) 30 (-15) 58 (0) 44 68
RH % (24h trend) 63 (-21) 24 (+2) 81 68
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 5-9 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4-8 S 5-9 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.25
Precip Duration 8 11
Precip Begin 7 PM 6 AM
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 710 360
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2320 1180
1700`Mix Hgt Temp 54 66
Transport Wnd (kts) SE 5 SW 10
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 3 SW 5
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 2130 1800
Dispersion Index Poor Poor
DSI STBL STBL
Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 60s. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper
60s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
KYZ010>013-016-017-021-022-171015-
Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-Hopkins-Christian-Muhlenberg-Todd-
1240 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 70 90
High Temperature(F) 57-61 67-71
Minimum RH(%) 21-26 60-65
Low Temperature(F) 30-34 43-47
Maximum RH(%) 57-62 68-73
Temp (24h trend) 31 (-17) 60 (-1) 44 70
RH % (24h trend) 60 (-26) 24 (0) 71 63
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 5-9 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 3-7 G17 SW 6-10 G23
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.17
Precip Duration 7 7
Precip Begin 7 PM 6 AM
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 720 560
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2360 1820
1700`Mix Hgt Temp 56 71
Transport Wnd (kts) SE 7 SW 19
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 4 SW 10
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 2880 5600
Dispersion Index Poor Poor
DSI STBL STBL
Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the upper 50s.
Highs around 70. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs around 60.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
KYZ001>009-171015-
Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-Livingston-
Marshall-Calloway-
1240 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 70 80
High Temperature(F) 59-63 70-74
Minimum RH(%) 21-26 61-66
Low Temperature(F) 33-37 47-51
Maximum RH(%) 60-65 73-78
Temp (24h trend) 34 (-15) 62 (0) 48 74
RH % (24h trend) 63 (-29) 24 (-2) 76 64
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var E 3-7 Lgt/Var S 7-11 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var SE 4-8 S 4-8 G19 SW 7-11 G25
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.08
Precip Duration 6 5
Precip Begin 7 PM 6 AM
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 700 570
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2300 1870
1700`Mix Hgt Temp 60 72
Transport Wnd (kts) SE 10 SW 19
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 5 SW 10
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3500 5700
Dispersion Index Poor Poor
DSI STBL STBL
Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 70.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs around 60.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$