715
AXPQ20 PGUM 220107
TWDPQ

Tropical Weather Discussion
National Weather Service Tiyan GU
1107 AM ChST Sat Jun 22 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the Western North Pacific between
the Equator and 25N from 130E to 180. The following information is
based on recent satellite imagery/data, weather observations, radar,
and meteorological analysis.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

None.

...OTHER WEATHER SYSTEMS...

ITCZ...
The Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) enters the AOR at 4n130e
and stretches westward south of Majuro, then curves northwestward to
7n163e. Multiple pockets of moderate to deep convection are seen over
open waters, with scattered showers seen over Kosrae along and north
of the ITCZ. Models continue to show the ITCZ will fragment later
this weekend into individual troughs before dissipating.

TRADE-WIND TROUGHS...
A broad trade-wind trough south of Guam located in eastern Yap State
is generating pockets of moderate to deep convection. Models show the
trade-wind trough will push westward impacting Yap and Palau on
Sunday.

TUTT...
A Tropical Upper-Tropospheric Trough (TUTT) cell is centered near
19N171E, or east of Wake Island. General cloudiness with pockets of
deep convection, mainly along the southeastern quadrant of the TUTT
cell. Models show the TUTT cell moving west-southwestward over the
coming days, possibly reaching the far northern Mariana Islands
during the middle to latter part of next week.

NEAR EQUATORIAL TROUGH...
A near equatorial trough (NET) enters the region at 1N130E,
extending northeastward to a weak circulation near 5N135E or east
of the Republic of Palau, then northeastward to 12N143E. Pockets
of moderate to deep convection are seen along the trough axis.
Models show the trough move northwestward, generating additional
pockets of moderate to deep convection and north of the feature.

$$

Kelly