Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

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427
FNUS55 KPSR 120843
FWFPSR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central
Arizona and Southeast California
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
143 AM MST Sun Oct 12 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Wetting rain chances will continue through Monday over eastern
districts with drying in SE California and SW Arizona. Rainfall
may be heavy at times resulting in localized flooding, especially
over higher terrain areas. Elevated moisture levels will keep
humidity levels in eastern districts above 50%. Western districts
will generally experience afternoon humidity values 15-25%.
Erratic and locally gusty winds will common around showers and
thunderstorms with more widespread gusty winds affecting the
region Monday afternoon/evening.

...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds...

Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found
in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-122045-
West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix
Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/
Northwest and North-Central Pinal County-
Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
143 AM MST Sun Oct 12 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers
  and thunderstorms in the morning. slight chance of showers and
  thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max Temperature.................81-87.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................32-60 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................5 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 10 mph in the
  morning becoming west in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................50 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent west portion...40
  percent east portion.
* Chance of Thunder...............35 percent.
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......6000 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......South 4 knots.
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Fair.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Chance of
  thunderstorms in the evening. chance of showers . chance of
  thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min Temperature.................65-75.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................76-93 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................40 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent west portion...20
  percent east portion.
* Chance of Thunder...............20 percent.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers
  and slight chance of thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature.................78-87.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................28-58 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................7 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 25 to 35 mph.
* Chance of Precip................30 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent west portion...20
  percent east portion.
* Chance of Thunder...............10 percent.
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......6400 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......South 19 knots.
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Excellent.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 55-66. Highs 76-84. South winds
10 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 51-61. Highs 73-80. West winds 5 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 51-61. Highs 74-81. Northwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 52-62. Highs 76-83.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 53-63. Highs 78-84.

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-122045-
Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ-
Lower Colorado River Valley CA-
143 AM MST Sun Oct 12 2025 /143 AM PDT Sun Oct 12 2025/

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................85-90.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................21-28 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................20 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........5700 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........Northwest 9 knots.
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Fair.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................63-70.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................60-76 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the
  evening becoming northeast after midnight.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny in the morning
  becoming sunny in the afternoon.
* Max Temperature.................84-89.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................20-27 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........6600 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southwest 10 knots.
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Good.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 54-62. Highs 78-83. Southwest winds
10 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 51-61. Highs 76-81. Northwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 51-58. Highs 78-83. North winds 10 to
20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 51-59. Highs 79-84.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 53-59. Highs 81-86.

$$

AZZ133-122045-
Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills-
Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/
CAZ-
143 AM MST Sun Oct 12 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in
  the morning. chance of thunderstorms . chance of showers in the
  afternoon.
* Max Temperature.................67-82.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................52-70 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................70 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................60 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............50 percent.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy in the evening
  becoming mostly cloudy after midnight. Chance of showers and
  thunderstorms in the evening becoming showers likely and chance
  of thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min Temperature.................55-68.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................84-100 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip................70 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................50 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............50 percent.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and
  chance of thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature.................64-79.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity....................58-78 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................7 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 25 to 35 mph.
* Chance of Precip................70 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................50 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............46 percent.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 50-65. Highs 68-81. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-61. Highs 66-78. Southwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 40-57. Highs 64-77. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 40-55. Highs 65-78.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 40-56. Highs 66-79.

$$

CAZ232-122045-
Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County-
143 AM PDT Sun Oct 12 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................80-90.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................15-21 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................17 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Clear.
* Min Temperature.................61-66.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................42-63 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................77-87.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................16-25 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 52-60. Highs 71-81. West winds
10 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 52-60. Highs 70-79. Northwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 54-62. Highs 73-83. Northwest winds 10 to
20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 55-63. Highs 76-85.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56-63. Highs 77-86.

$$

CAZ230-122045-
Joshua Tree National Park-
143 AM PDT Sun Oct 12 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................70-81.
*    24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity....................17-21 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................16 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 10 to 20 mph in the
  morning becoming north 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Clear.
* Min Temperature.................49-60.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................38-49 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the
  evening becoming southwest after midnight.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................66-81.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................16-28 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 40-53. Highs 58-73. Southwest winds
10 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 40-54. Highs 59-70. Northwest winds
10 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 44-56. Highs 62-73. Northwest winds 10 to
20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 46-56. Highs 66-76.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 48-57. Highs 68-79.

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Sunday October 18th through Tuesday
October 21st: Below normal temperatures and near median
precipitation.