Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
993 FNUS55 KPSR 132126 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 226 PM MST Thu Nov 13 2025 .DISCUSSION... The quiet weather conditions will come to an end by the weekend as a large weather system slowly moves into the region from the west. Today will again bring above normal temperatures and dry conditions with rain chances beginning across the wester districts later on Friday. Widespread wetting rains are then likely for Saturday and the first part of Sunday. MinRHs today will continue to be in a 15-20% range before rising to 40-60% by Saturday. Expect light winds with fairly typical diurnal patterns through Friday before winds become breezy at times over the weekend. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-140930- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 226 PM MST Thu Nov 13 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................57-67. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................35-61 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming southeast after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming 15 to 25 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. * Max Temperature.................79-85. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................19-28 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......2300 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 3 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Poor. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy in the evening becoming mostly cloudy after midnight. Slight chance of showers. * Min Temperature.................59-69. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................48-75 pct. * 24 hr trend..................15 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming east after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the morning becoming showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................71-79. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................38-58 pct. * 24 hr trend..................24 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 25 to 35 mph in the morning becoming 40 to 50 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................60 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................70 percent west portion...40 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............13 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......2300 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 6 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Marginal. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Cooler. Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 50-62. Highs 64-72. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 49-59. Highs 65-72. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 45-55. Highs 61-68. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 44-54. Highs 61-67. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 44-54. Highs 60-68. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-140930- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 226 PM MST Thu Nov 13 2025 /126 PM PST Thu Nov 13 2025/ .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................59-64. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................54-78 pct. * 24 hr trend..................16 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................79-84. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................30-35 pct. * 24 hr trend..................13 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming west in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent in the morning becoming 20 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........2500 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Northwest 6 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Marginal. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the evening becoming chance of showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................62-67. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................73-87 pct. * 24 hr trend..................16 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming northeast after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the morning becoming showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................71-76. * 24 hr trend..................8 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................61-70 pct. * 24 hr trend..................33 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 30 to 40 mph in the morning becoming 40 to 50 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................80 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................80 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............12 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........3600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 21 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 49-57. Highs 68-74. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 48-54. Highs 68-73. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 44-54. Highs 64-69. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 44-50. Highs 63-68. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 44-51. Highs 65-71. $$ AZZ133-140930- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 226 PM MST Thu Nov 13 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................45-60. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................33-53 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................70-83. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................18-26 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................44-60. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................41-60 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. * Max Temperature.................65-78. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................29-38 pct. * 24 hr trend..................11 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph in the morning becoming 25 to 35 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 39-59. Highs 53-66. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 39-52. Highs 53-66. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 36-52. Highs 50-64. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 31-48. Highs 48-61. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 31-47. Highs 48-61. $$ CAZ232-140930- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 126 PM PST Thu Nov 13 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy in the evening becoming mostly cloudy after midnight. Slight chance of showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................62-69. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................44-70 pct. * 24 hr trend..................13 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph in the evening becoming south 20 to 30 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the evening becoming 10 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. * Max Temperature.................73-82. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................31-44 pct. * 24 hr trend..................17 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening becoming showers likely after midnight. * Min Temperature.................60-65. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................67-97 pct. * 24 hr trend..................28 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph in the evening becoming 20 to 30 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................60 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............3 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the morning becoming showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................64-73. * 24 hr trend..................9 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................55-73 pct. * 24 hr trend..................28 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 25 to 35 mph in the morning becoming 40 to 50 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................80 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................80 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............11 percent. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 49-58. Highs 61-73. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 48-57. Highs 61-72. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 45-56. Highs 58-68. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 45-53. Highs 59-69. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 45-53. Highs 60-70. $$ CAZ230-140930- Joshua Tree National Park- 126 PM PST Thu Nov 13 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy in the evening becoming mostly cloudy after midnight. Slight chance of showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................52-63. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................54-74 pct. * 24 hr trend..................25 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph in the evening becoming south 25 to 35 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the evening becoming 30 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. * Max Temperature.................63-76. * 24 hr trend..................8 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................40-54 pct. * 24 hr trend..................23 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 25 to 35 mph in the morning becoming south 15 to 25 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening becoming showers likely after midnight. * Min Temperature.................49-60. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................83-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................28 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................70 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................50 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............5 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Cloudy. Showers . slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................54-65. * 24 hr trend..................10 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................70-83 pct. * 24 hr trend..................30 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph in the morning becoming 35 to 45 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................90 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................90 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............13 percent. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 39-52. Highs 50-63. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 37-49. Highs 50-64. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 35-48. Highs 47-60. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 35-46. Highs 49-61. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 35-46. Highs 49-61. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Friday November 21st through Sunday November 23rd: Below normal temperatures and above median precipitation.