Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
728 FNUS55 KPSR 221235 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 535 AM MST Sat Jun 22 2024 .DISCUSSION... Moisture will continue to increase across the region through the weekend, bringing daily chances for afternoon thunderstorms, with the best chances expected across the higher terrain areas of south-central AZ. Best chances for thunderstorms across the lower deserts of south-central to western/southwestern AZ will be today. MinRH values this afternoon will range between 35-45% across the far eastern districts to between 15-25% across the western districts. MinRH values will remain elevated going into early next week before slowly drying into the middle of the week. Winds will follow their typical daily tendencies, with gusty outflows from any thunderstorm activity anticipated over the next several days. High pressure is expected to strengthen over the region by early to middle of next week leading to even hotter temperatures along with slightly drier conditions. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-230045- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 535 AM MST Sat Jun 22 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................101-107. * 24 hr trend..................6 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................20-27 pct. * 24 hr trend..................13 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................2. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......8600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southeast 5 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.................81-91. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................44-59 pct. * 24 hr trend..................14 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent west portion...20 percent east portion. * LAL.............................2. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning becoming chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................101-106. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................24-30 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................2 in the morning becoming 3 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......8800 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......South 5 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Fair. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 81-91. Highs 103-108. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-91. Highs 104-109. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 81-91. Highs 104-109. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 80-90. Highs 103-109. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 78-88. Highs 103-108. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-230045- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 535 AM MST Sat Jun 22 2024 /535 AM PDT Sat Jun 22 2024/ .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................105-110. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................22-26 pct. * 24 hr trend..................16 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........9400 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 12 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Excellent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................82-87. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................47-64 pct. * 24 hr trend..................18 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................105-110. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................23-29 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................10 percent in the morning becoming 20 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 2 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........7300 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 11 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-87. Highs 106-111. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-88. Highs 107-112. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-88. Highs 107-112. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-87. Highs 106-111. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 79-85. Highs 105-110. $$ AZZ133-230045- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 535 AM MST Sat Jun 22 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................85-101. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................27-42 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent in the morning becoming 50 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 3 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening becoming slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. * Min Temperature.................66-81. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................56-76 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 percent. * LAL.............................3 in the evening becoming 2 after midnight. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning becoming showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................85-101. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................28-41 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming west in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................60 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * LAL.............................3 in the morning becoming 4 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67-83. Highs 89-103. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67-84. Highs 90-105. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-84. Highs 91-105. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-83. Highs 89-104. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-82. Highs 89-103. $$ CAZ232-230045- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 535 AM PDT Sat Jun 22 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................101-111. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................18-26 pct. * 24 hr trend..................12 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................81-88. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................35-57 pct. * 24 hr trend..................9 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................102-111. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................18-27 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................10 percent in the morning becoming 20 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 2 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-89. Highs 102-113. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-90. Highs 103-113. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-90. Highs 104-113. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 79-88. Highs 104-114. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 77-86. Highs 103-113. $$ CAZ230-230045- Joshua Tree National Park- 535 AM PDT Sat Jun 22 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................91-105. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................17-22 pct. * 24 hr trend..................10 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................71-83. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................32-40 pct. * 24 hr trend..................10 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning becoming chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................93-106. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................19-25 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................2 in the morning becoming 3 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 71-86. Highs 92-107. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 71-86. Highs 93-108. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 72-86. Highs 94-108. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 68-85. Highs 93-107. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 67-82. Highs 92-107. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Saturday June 29th through Monday July 1st: Above normal temperatures and precipitation.