Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

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Spot Forecast for Middle Pasture RX Broadcast Prescribed Fire...AZ-SCA
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
953 PM MST Tue Nov 11 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 MST on November 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
No significant weather impacts expected through Thursday under
partly cloudy skies, above normal temperatures, dry conditions,
and light winds. Minimum afteroon humidity values will fall just
below 20% each day with overnight recoveries around 40-55%. Winds
will mostly be around 5-10 mph during the daytime hours, with
lighter winds during the overnight hours. Wind directions, with
the weak gradient, will heavily be driven by the terrain, with
downvalley/downslope winds during the overnight and morning hours,
turning upvalley/upslope in the afternoons. With a south slope
exposure, this will favor a southerly to southeasterly component
to the winds overnight and northerly to northwesterly during the
afternoons. An occasional wind gust up to around 15 mph cannot be
ruled out around midday with mixing, especially on Thursday.

...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds...

Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found
in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........48-53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........14-19 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 42.
Max humidity........38-43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 4 mph.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the southest
                    5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 6 mph.

$$
Forecaster...SB
Requested by...Ben Marquez
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525649.0/PSR
.DELDT 11/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL marquezdavidbenjamin@gmail.com,bmarquez@forestry.scat-nsn.gov,egoseyun@forestry-scat-nsn.gov