311
FNUS75 KPSR 120142
FWSPSR

Spot Forecast for Horseshoe Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
642 PM MST Mon May 11 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 MST on May 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Hot and dry conditions continue through over the next couple of
days. Although temperatures will cool, they will remain well above
normal. MinRhs will be around 10% both days, with poor overnight
recovery (less than 30%). Winds will tend to follow their typical
diurnal tendencies. With speeds less than 10 mph during the
overnight and early morning hours. Speeds will pick up both
afternoons and early evening with gusts into the upper teens
expected on Tuesday and into the low 20s on Wednesday.

Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found
in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........23-28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light southwest winds will go light and variable
                    late tonight through tomorrow morning but may
                    tend to favor a north/northeast direction this
                    evening before going northeasterly early. Wind
                    speeds will be around 2 to 7 mph through the rest
                    of tonight.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 104.
Min humidity........8-13 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds in the morning will
 develop a southwest component by the late morning hours. Winds
speeds will be under 5 mph through much of the morning, by the
late morning and afternoon hours wind speeds will increase to 6 to
11 mph. Some occasional gusts of 13 to 18 mph are possible during
the afternoon.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
Max humidity........25-30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph becoming light and
                    variable (may tend to favor a northeast direction)
                    with speeds less than 5 mph overnight.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 98.
Min humidity........7-12 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........By the late morning hours winds will develop a
                    south/southwest component with speeds of 7 to 12 mph
                    and gusts of 18 to 23 mph during the afternoon.


$$
Forecaster...KB
Requested by...Meghan Han
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2613422.0/PSR
.DELDT 05/11/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL meghan.han@usda.gov