619
FXUS62 KRAH 132349
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
749 PM EDT Sun Sep 13 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

* No major changes.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 149 PM Sunday...

1) Dry weather and a little cooler this week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
As of 149 PM Sunday...

KEY MESSAGE 1... Dry weather and a little cooler this week.

A well-defined pressure trough is located across central NC attm,
but the actual cold front is still well to our NW beginning to
approach the Ohio Valley.  That front will finally cross central NC
tomorrow, first a wind shift to the north early in the day followed
by the actual airmass change later in the evening or Monday night.
So we`ll still have one more hot day tomorrow with highs around 90
before the airmass changes.  While a few models suggest a few isold
showers could occur sometime during the daytime Monday associated
with the front, the bulk of the NWP guidance keeps pops <15%, so for
now will keep the forecast dry for Monday.

Otherwise, a cooler and drier airmass will begin to move into
central NC Monday night as high pressure begins to build southward
into our area.  High pressure and dry, more seasonable weather will
persist through at least the mid-week period. Thereafter,
statistical guidance suggests rain chances increasing for the late-
week and next weekend periods, but the pattern at that time still
shows an upper ridge over our region, so perhaps any chances for
rain later in the forecast period will be below climo.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 745 PM Sunday...

VFR conditions will prevail across central NC through the next 24
hours, with just few to scattered cumulus and high clouds at times.
Winds will be light (5 kts or less) tonight and veer from SW to NW.
As a cold front begins to approach the region on Monday, winds will
shift further to a NNE direction and increase to 7-10 kts
(potentially gusting to 15 kts at times especially east).

Outlook: Dry weather and VFR conditions should generally prevail
through the week.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...np
AVIATION...Danco