577
FXUS62 KRAH 281819
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
219 PM EDT Thu Aug 28 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Surface high pressure centered across our region will slip offshore
this afternoon. A weak surface trough will drop south across the
region late tonight and early Friday. A dry cold front will move
south across the mid-Atlantic on Friday night and early Saturday and
then stall across Georgia and South Carolina over the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 214 PM Thursday...

Multi-layer cloudiness continues this afternoon as the center of the
sfc high shifts east over our area. Expect periods of additional mid
to high level cloudiness to persist into the overnight period. Dry
weather with overnight lows in the upper 50s/lower 60s is expected.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As of 214 PM Thursday...

Another dry day expected Friday as subsidence and plenty of sunshine
show across our area. Highs should bump up a few degrees reaching
the mid 80s for most locations.  A dry cold front will push across
central NC Friday night into Saturday morning. This will generate
some cloudiness but dry weather should persist.  Expect overnight
lows to dip into the lower to mid 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 125 PM Thursday...

* The period of below normal temperatures continues.

* Forecast overall trends drier, with the best chance for showers on
  Sunday.

The upper trough will continue to dominate the overall weather
pattern in the long term period. This will allow the below normal
temperatures and dry conditions to generally continue through
Thursday. A few shortwave troughs are expected to swing through the
bottom of the longwave trough which could bring unsettled weather to
the area. Although models have been trending drier, some showers
could be possible along the shortwaves. The best chance for showers
looks to be on Sunday afternoon, however isolated showers cannot be
ruled out any afternoon. Any rain that falls is expected to be light.

Temperatures will remain below normal each day. Saturday should be
the warmest day, with maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s. A
cold front associated with a shortwave trough on Saturday will drop
temperatures further for the rest of the extended period. Monday
should be the coolest day, with maximum temperatures in the mid 70s
to around 80, with a slight warming trend each afternoon. Minimum
temperatures each night are generally expected in the upper 50s to
mid 60s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 219 PM Thursday...

VFR conditions will continue over the 24 hour TAF period with
periods of mid to high level cloudiness. Expect light sly flow to go
calm overnight before picking back up a bit tomorrow
morning/afternoon.

Looking beyond 18Z Friday: Generally fair weather and VFR conditions
are expected through late Saturday. The stalled front to our south
may nudge north with a possible surface wave developing on the front
on Sunday. This will result in an increase in moisture and a small
chance of rain and perhaps some sub-VFR ceilings during Sunday
afternoon and evening, mainly across the south and southeast.
Otherwise, fair weather is expected into early next week.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Blaes
NEAR TERM...Luchetti
SHORT TERM...Luchetti
LONG TERM...Helock
AVIATION...Luchetti/Blaes