Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Reno, NV

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653
FXUS65 KREV 181902
AFDREV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
1202 PM PDT Tue Aug 18 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Dry and warm conditions through Thursday across the Eastern
  Sierra and western Nevada.

* Breezy conditions are expected each afternoon, with stronger
  winds possible Friday into the weekend.

* Shower and thunderstorm potential returns by Friday for the
  Eastern Sierra of southern Mono county.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Afternoon highs peak Wednesday and Thursday, topping out near 100
for lower valleys and mid to upper 80s for Sierra communities. A
cooling trend will welcome the weekend, with highs dropping to the
low 90s for W NV and lower valleys, and low 80s for the Sierra.
This will be contributed to a dome of high pressure propagating
eastward.

With the high moving eastward, and a trough off the California
coast tracking northeastward and inland, this will increase our
daily afternoon breezes Friday and Saturday. Expect widespread
gusts up to 30 mph, locally higher in wind prone areas and along
the higher terrain. These enhanced winds coupled with dry fuels in
NE CA and NW NV will produce a handful of elevated to critical
fire weather conditions both days.

Monsoonal moisture will also move its way into the area this
weekend, increasing the chances for afternoon showers and
thunderstorms. At this time, the best chances (15-20%) will be in
southern Mono, southern Lyon, Mineral, and eastern Churchill
counties Friday through at least Sunday. While this seems to be a
similar pattern to what we had last week, there is less moisture
this time around; storms will be more isolated in nature, with
the main concern being strong outflows and lightning.

-Giralte

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions continue through much of the week with typical
breezes up to 20 kts. Lower CIGS/VIS for KMMH by Friday with
afternoon shower and thunderstorm development (15-20% chance).
Otherwise, breezes increase to 30-35 kts for all terminals Friday
and Saturday.

-Giralte

&&

.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...None.
CA...None.
&&

$$