Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Reno, NV
Issued by NWS Reno, NV
273 FXUS65 KREV 140653 AFDREV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Reno NV 1153 PM PDT Fri Jun 13 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... * Breezy afternoon winds persist through much of the upcoming week, with potential for longer periods of gusty winds Monday and again by next weekend. * Typical June temperatures and dry weather prevail through Tuesday, with moderate HeatRisk returning by Wednesday and Thursday. && .DISCUSSION... * For the weekend we`ll maintain the dry southwest flow aloft with weak shortwaves transiting through the area. Expect breezy west/southwest winds during the afternoon and evening throughout the eastern Sierra, NE CA, and W NV. Wind gusts between 20-30 mph will be common for most of the area, with ridges gusting between 30-40 mph. It will remain very dry this weekend, with seasonal to just above seasonal high temperatures and cool nights. * Attention then turns to Monday with the passage of a trough the Great Basin. West to southwest winds will strengthen through the day, leading to widespread gusts of 25-35 mph for much of NE CA and W NV. Stronger gusts of 35-45 mph are focused along the ridges in the Tahoe Basin southward into Mono, Mineral, and Lyon counties. Be prepared for bumpy flights, blowing dust in the Basin and Range, and choppy waters on area lakes. Breezy winds will continue to overlap very low RH, which will maintain elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions during the afternoon and evening. While it`s expected to be dry, blended guidance offers a 5% chance of thunderstorms near the Oregon border. * Ridging pattern returns to the area on Tuesday through Thursday. Temperatures will trend back above average, with daytime highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s for Sierra communities and upper 80s to mid 90s for western Nevada valleys. It will remain dry, but with lighter winds. * Heading to the end of the work week into next weekend, model ensembles are still depicting an upper low impacting the western US. There is still discrepancies into the strength and track of this feature, with a few solutions showing a deep low over the Great Basin while other ensemble solutions showing a faster trough through the Pacific Northwest. Either way, this will need to be watched for the potential of strong winds with fire weather concerns. -McKellar && .AVIATION... * Widespread VFR conditions will prevail through the upcoming weekend. More typical PM gusts of 20-25 kt are likely this weekend at all eastern Sierra and western NV terminals. Winds could ramp up again for Monday with increased aviation impacts. -McKellar && .REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories... NV...None. CA...None. && $$